Guaranteed winning roulette system

[Steve]

Guaranteed winning roulette system

Is there a guaranteed way to win at roulette? What would a guaranteed winning system take?

Source: Guaranteed winning roulette system

[CryptoLogic]

100% money back guarantee, yes sure   

[Nathan Detroit]

Yes there is a winning system which  lies solely inder the control of the player. The casinos  hate it  but cannot do anything about it. It is legal in all jurisdictions  all over the world

This method looks  as normal as any other method. Just  KNOW when it is tme to leave the premises with the winnings.

Applying this  method one can truly say: I don`t gamble, the casino does by permitting me to play there.



MD

[Steve]

Perhaps the context of the article is unclear from the heading alone. You need to read the article.

The casino normally has a 2.7% advantage. Does it mean they are guaranteed to profit? NO. It is still possible they will lose, especially in the short term. But what about the long term? . . . Are they guaranteed to profit? . . . Still NO.

It can be said that when there is a legitimate advantage, profit is never 100% guaranteed. Anyone with a legitimate advantage (the casino or you) can get so damn close to 100% that they are unlikely to lose in a million lifetimes.

IT'S NO DIFFERENT FOR ADVANTAGE PLAY. WHEN THERE IS AN ADVANTAGE, THERE IS AN ADVANTAGE.

If I applied a roulette computer on a wheel that had predictable scatter and reasonable dominant diamonds, and I could make predictions at around 10 seconds before the ball falls, I could safely bet my life I'd beat the wheel over 1,000 spins. Not even that many are needed, but I'm saying to be so sure that you could safely bet your life (not that you ever would though). The edge achieved may be 30%, which is far greater than the casino's 2.7% edge. Nothing is ever 100% assured, not even a casino's profit. Not even that the sun will rise. But in relation to roulette . . .

Which is more guaranteed . . . the casino's small 2.7% edge, or the advantage player's 30% edge on a suitable wheel?

Any advantage player may say "well that's all true, but what if conditions at the wheel change, like the ball's deceleration rate?". It's a valid question, but a well designed computer deals with the adjustments to maintain the edge. Some of the possible edge is lost while the computer adjusts. Similarly a skilled advantage player using different methods knows how to verify consistent edge and adjust.

So it applies to any advantage play method. The simplest is bias. If there is a bias, and the player continues to verify the bias through visual and audible cues, combined with statistical analysis (to confirm bias still exists) is the player winning 100% guaranteed? No. But the longer the player plays, the closer they'll get to 100%. For example, after say 10,000 spins, the probability that they'll have profited may be 98%. Then after another 10,000 spins, it may be 99%. Then 100,000 spins later it may be 99.99%. It will never get to 100%.

The article explains the same thing. But if you judge a book by its cover, in this case the article title, you wont be making an informed judgement.

ps - if you consider my public roulette computer demo with 93% win rate covering 15 numbers, and see the data charts, thats an enormous edge. I could have continued to play for weeks and nothing would have changed. You may notice in the video I say while the results are clearly good, I'll continue to make it even clearer. I knew if the results turned bad, I would have look pretty stupid in front of a group of people. But I knew the results would not change. If I had only a 2.7% edge, I couldnt have continued with confidence because with such a small edge, there is too much variance.

[Steve]

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