Ok we are 2 days into the MLB season
Homeplay is an easy method to follow a friend of mine few years back used to play it with good MM
Method is we take the last game of the day usually on the west coast and the home team
So far is 1-1
Today April 7 Padres -101
Lost yesterday now at 1-2
Todays play is SF +101
Lost again yesterday we @ 1-3
Taking LA angels -120 for today we will use a Labouchere MM so with a win rate of 40 % or so it should show a profit
Today's Angels game PPD Natural9.....
One of their starting pitchers got killed in a car crash.... :'(
Oh that is sad to hear
Ok we be on SF @ -115
Ok Natural 9 :thumbsup:
Could I ask where you are getting your odds from ???
As in which bookmakers are you using.....
Thanking you in advance..... :thumbsup:
Quote from: xman1970 on April 09, 2009, 06:32:06 PM
Ok Natural 9 :thumbsup:
Could I ask where you are getting your odds from ???
As in which bookmakers are you using.....
Thanking you in advance..... :thumbsup:
nolinks://nolinks.pinnaclesports.com/League/Baseball/MLB/1/Lines.aspx (nolinks://nolinks.pinnaclesports.com/League/Baseball/MLB/1/Lines.aspx)
hope i allowed to post this address Victor might bar me >:D :-[
Quote from: Natural9 on April 09, 2009, 06:48:28 PM
nolinks://nolinks.pinnaclesports.com/League/Baseball/MLB/1/Lines.aspx (nolinks://nolinks.pinnaclesports.com/League/Baseball/MLB/1/Lines.aspx)
hope I allowed to post this address Victor might bar me >:D :-[
there is no affiliate link, so I assume you won't get a rap on the knuckles ;)
Thanks for getting back to me.... 8)
Our selection won yesterday we are now @ 2-3 but playing A Labby we would be 2 units up
Tomorrows selections there are three to choose from we will play 2
The highest juice and lowest juice game
The Oakland A's run line -1.5 runs @ +146
LA angels -103 there should be alot of passion in tat Game could work for or against the Angels
Lets see how it goes
Regards Rodney
Went 1-1 yesterday so we @ 3-4 with 2 units profit
Play SD Padres run line -1.5 +150 for today
Had a good win by SD we on milwaukie for today ML +125
so far we have resolved all of our runs for + 4 units up and 4-4
Lost yesterday so we at 4-5 and 3 units up
Today we on Oakland A's +133
Oakland won for us @+133 so we at 5-5 and 5 units up
We needs see what happens on a losing run not that one mind you
Tomorrow we take Oakland Again and underdog too @ +135 put a unit on can they do it again
Regards Rodney
Oakland wons for us again @+135 took to the 12 innings tho so we now at 6-5
6.35 units up
For tomorrow 4/15 we take two selections
Seattle +101 ML
Thinks we take the Run line -1.5 On Dodgers @ +150 ML is -150
Regards Rodney
Dodgers won but didnt cover the RL
Seattle won for us so we were 1-1 yesterday results @ 7-6
16/4 we take same teams again 1.5 units on each
LA dodgers +129 on RL
Seattle +130 ML
Quote from: Natural9 on April 16, 2009, 09:20:26 AM
Dodgers won but didnt cover the RL
Seattle won for us so we were 1-1 yesterday results @ 7-6
16/4 we take same teams again 1.5 units on each
LA dodgers +129 on RL
Seattle +130 ML
today we went 1-1 Dodgers covered Seattle lost so for the day we won a bout half a unit so over all we down half a unit over the last two days
Tomorrow we put 2 units on SF ML @ +132
If it loses we assess the bet for the next day
Regards Rodney
SF won for us today we so far @ 9-7 about 10 units up overall
On the Dodgers For April 18 Rl -1.5 @+131 anyone interested the ML is@ -163
Quote from: Natural9 on April 18, 2009, 05:49:21 AM
SF won for us today we so far @ 9-7 about 10 units up overall
On the Dodgers For April 18 Rl -1.5 @+131 anyone interested the ML is@ -163
Dodgers won for us again and also covered so we at 10-7 and about 10.3 units up so far the method has ben plain sailing maybe rough waters aheah who knows
We play to win one unit on the CCubs on the ML @ -130
Quote from: Natural9 on April 19, 2009, 03:22:47 AM
Dodgers won for us again and also covered so we at 10-7 and about 10.3 units up so far the method has ben plain sailing maybe rough waters aheah who knows
We play to win one unit on the CCubs on the ML @ -130
Match was postponed today for Monday 4/20 we take Arizona ML-112
RL is +178
Arizona Won for us @ -112 so we at 11-7
11.3 units up
Tomorrow we take SF ML +109
Quote from: Natural9 on April 21, 2009, 06:30:14 AM
Arizona Won for us @ -112 so we at 11-7
11.3 units up
Tomorrow we take SF ML +109
Sf won for us yesterday we take Seattle +103 for tomorrow
Units won +11.39
12-7
Quote from: Natural9 on April 22, 2009, 10:32:32 AM
Sf won for us yesterday we take Seattle +103 for tomorrow
Units won +11.39
12-7
Seattle lost for us
Tomorrow 4/23 we have a play on LA Angels the lines are not out yet
There is +130 ML available on this game tho some of sportsbooks not have it listed yet
The Angels won for us +130 if taken Rl it was like +240 most just about a lthe wins i have had the teams have covered the RL
We have three plays tomorrow tho i\i Not like play three in a day much we take them anyhow because it doesnt happen too often
We @ 13-8 for season so far
SD Padres ML -118 taking ML RL is @ +180
Oakland ML +112 taking ML RL is @ +230
LAA ML +108 taking ML RL is @+220
It wasn't such a good day for us yesterday we went 2-1 net loss of 1 unit we will carry one unit over not 2
Results at 14-10 11.39 units
Today 4/25 we take Padres RL @ + 172 ML is -130
Padres Got thrashed so we down 2 units we carry that over altogether carry over a bout 2.3 units
We taken Boston @ +145 RL -1.5 at present we are at 14-11
Todays it has been three weeks since the baseball season has started I have been tracking favourites and underdogs
Tomorrow we start testing the GDBF method
WE take For 04.26
Good Dog Seattle @+115
FLO @-105
Bad Favourite SF @ -105
Lets see how it goes
Others that close to selection are Pit +182
Tex+107
Quote from: Natural9 on April 26, 2009, 10:32:31 AM
Padres Got thrashed so we down 2 units we carry that over altogether carry over a bout 2.3 units
We taken Boston @ +145 RL -1.5 at present we are at 14-11
Todays it has been three weeks since the baseball season has started I have been tracking favourites and underdogs
Tomorrow we start testing the GDBF method
WE take For 04.26
Good Dog Seattle @+115
FLO @-105
Bad Favourite SF @ -105
Lets see how it goes
Others that close to selection are Pit +182
Tex+107
Boston won and covered for us Sweeping the Yanks in the process we are up about 12-4 units taking our W/L tally to 15-11
Tomorrow we be on SF ML @ +120
GDBF
Poor start all teams losing so we down 3.05 units
Bad Favorite Good Dog
Cubs +122 2 units SD +108 2 units
Flo +149 2 units Flo +148 1 unit
Wash +158 1 unit Pit +160 1 unit
Will be using 6 point divisor plan At this point there are much better lines available but i did this post bout 12 hours ago if one was playuing it you could line huntthere is up to +020 difference on some picks
I will keep posting for another week if no interest I won't bother posting anymore
Pls continue Rodney.....
I for one AM interested........ :thumbsup:
Quote from: xman1970 on April 27, 2009, 10:18:36 AM
Pls continue Rodney.....
I for one AM interested........ :thumbsup:
Ok thanks xman we see where this goes
Regards Rodney
Good Man ;) I wish you well with it......
One very simple way I was looking to bet is this. Look for a team to of won 4 in a row & bet on that to continue. The same with lost 4 in a row betting on them to lose. Good & bad teams have these kinda runs so the odds available would be interesting......
Just a thought..... 8)
Quote from: xman1970 on April 27, 2009, 09:17:10 PM
Good Man ;) I wish you well with it......
One very simple way I was looking to bet is this. Look for a team to of won 4 in a row & bet on that to continue. The same with lost 4 in a row betting on them to lose. Good & bad teams have these kinda runs so the odds available would be interesting......
Just a thought..... 8)
The GDBF method kinda takes streaks into consideration the idea behind it ( it isn't working to well at the moment ) is that some teams play well as dogs and others play bad as favorites but it isn't proving that way as the system after two days is down 12 units maybe less play might help but a team qualifies it qualifies i guess most of the favorites are winning
Anyhow i keep the picks here and maybe the odd tweak might help like being home team and the such
SF won for us but it was a dog and playing at home tho
Anyhow it just in testing phase for this year doesnt hurt to have bit of muck around with it
Nope, no harm in tweaking away...... ;)
When I get some time I will go through last season results with the W4 or L4 theory & see what the W/L would of been...... 8)
Quote from: xman1970 on April 28, 2009, 03:11:29 AM
Nope, no harm in tweaking away...... ;)
When I get some time I will go through last season results with the W4 or L4 theory & see what the W/L would of been...... 8)
Well the Red Sox have won something like 10 on end now
Also with this Good Dog Bad Favourite theory one reason why a lot of teams go out as underdogs is that they are playing away from home but I still don't think home ground advantage is as crucial in Baseball ( tho It still does play a part in a teams performance)as it is in a lot of other sports any thoughts on that one
Regards Rodney
Quote from: Natural9 on April 28, 2009, 05:45:13 AM
Well the Red Sox have won somethnig like 10 on end now
Yep & three wins V the Yankees so the odds would of been good :)
think Seattle & Baltimore both won 6 on the bounce (probably good odds) & the nats lost 7 or 8 on the bounce (not good odds but a win is a win)
Like i said I will go through LAST season when I get sometime..... :thumbsup:
Hey N9,
Thought I'd try this with the NRL and it's going well so far (3 weeks lol). Thanks for the idea, it's opened up a few new doors now too having seen the various other bets available.
Quote from: roules on April 28, 2009, 07:21:21 AM
Hey N9,
Thought I'd try this with the NRL and it's going well so far (3 weeks lol). Thanks for the idea, it's opened up a few new doors now too having seen the various other bets available.
Cool Roules you must tell me how you doing it with the NRL and I wonder if the same can be applied to the super 14 rugby
Regards Rodney
Well the home play keeps chugging along SF won for us after a close one is one a the few not cover the RL as well
has completeed all runs and up about 14 -15 units
We on SF again for tomorrow Tuesday ML + 151
Now I going look few tweaks on the GDBF theory
GD picks BF Picks
Flo +119(A) v NYM Min (H) +106
SD +135 (A) v Col Bos (A) +100
Flo (A) +119
Lines will most likely move in favour
Quote from: xman1970 on April 28, 2009, 03:11:29 AM
Nope, no harm in tweaking away...... ;)
When I get some time I will go through last season results with the W4 or L4 theory & see what the W/L would of been...... 8)
There are three teams that fit that scenario
Boston who have won 11 on end
Phil who have won 4 on end
Florida who are and 7 losses
Yanks @ 4 losses
so on the 4 scenario plays would be Detroit V Yankees
and the Phillies
Quote from: Natural9 on April 28, 2009, 07:07:04 PM
There are three teams that fit that scenario
Boston who have won 11 on end
Phil who have won 4 on end
Florida who are and 7 losses
Yanks @ 4 losses
so on the 4 scenario plays would be Detroit V Yankees
and the Phillies
Yep Rodney ;)
I would try R.Sox & Phillies to win
&
Florida & Yankees to lose
pls understand I'm not saying this works, but streaks of 4W or 4L are not uncommon......
Yesterday we went 4 from 5 in the GDBF
Flat betting we down bout 5 units still the home dog won so maybe keep an eye on the home team in this method more
The Home play SF lost they were well in it right to the end
Tomorrow we Take SF again as the home play play RL -1.5 +164
Ok the GDBF picks
GD BF
Pit (A) +185 Stl (A)-102
Flo (A) +164 Flo (A)+164
SD (A) +140 Min (H)+121
Hey Rodney,
Mate Im just following what you suggested, backing the home team on the monday night games. Never thought the panthers would do the titans the other night, nor would I have thought the tigers would get up on the storm (16-6!) the week before so, so far so good.
The other interesting (to me) bets are the team totals - there's some pretty good odds there that I've been betting on on the weekend/fri night games. FYI - the average team totals for the year is about 40 per game.
Roules
Quote from: roules on April 29, 2009, 06:41:52 PM
Hey Rodney,
Mate Im just following what you suggested, backing the home team on the monday night games. Never thought the panthers would do the titans the other night, nor would I have thought the tigers would get up on the storm (16-6!) the week before so, so far so good.
The other interesting (to me) bets are the team totals - there's some pretty good odds there that I've been betting on on the weekend/fri night games. FYI - the average team totals for the year is about 40 per game.
Roules
Yeh for reasson the home team win very often on the monday night NRL game I think at quite good odds to
We see what happens for this coming monday
Keep it up Roules
Regards Rodney
Quote from: Natural9 on April 29, 2009, 11:52:50 AM
Yesterday we went 4 from 5 in the GDBF
Flat betting we down bout 5 units still the home dog won so maybe keep an eye on the home team in this method more
The Home play SF lost they were well in it right to the end
Tomorrow we Take SF again as the home play play RL -1.5 +164
Ok the GDBF picks
GD BF
Pit (A) +185 Stl (A)-102
Flo (A) +164 Flo (A)+164
SD (A) +140 Min (H)+121
We went 4-2 in the GDBF for net loss of 1-5 units it is recovering well from a terrible start
SF won again for us and covered easily
Play The Dodgers RL -1.5 +145 from home play
GDBF selections
GD
Flo (A)-101
SD (A) +135 clashes with my home play not good :-\
There maybe a play on Boston -105 they same odds at the present whichwould be a BF selection we play it as it give us a selection in this catergory
Went !-2 in the GDBF yesaterday and the home play won and covered easily
Todays picks Home play SF -109
GDBF
GD BF
Flo +246 Hou +150
Sea +101 NYM +102
Went 2-2 in the GDBF methods yesterday
Home play won
Home play for today 5/2
LAD RL -1.5 125
GDBF plays
GD BF
CWS (A) +112 NYM(A) +105
Flo (A) +137 MIL (H) +114
HOU (A)+119