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Would The Real HG Bet, Please Stand Up..

Started by cilxeskyd, September 27, 2010, 07:30:51 AM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

cilxeskyd


Quick show of hands,

How many members are currently claiming to possess a HG bet. . ?

FYI, by 'HG' I mean a consistent winning bet for YOU.        (no luck involved)

You walk into the Casino 100% confident you'll walk out a winner. .     

No BS please. .         

(yes, that was directed at you!)



Killroy Gentz

Killroy was here........ and at the casino. How do I show my hand online  :blink: You mean to tell me that not everyone here wins consistantly?  :o Shocker! Phone the reality police! 

MiniBaccarat


Jish

You can't make a formula for something with a negative expectation positive:) sure you can have long streaks and sure some guys claim to have the bet until it comes under scrutiny and the evidence magically dissapears

gizmotron

I do. You can play through the bad streaks by minimizing the damage. You maximize the good streaks by attacking vigorously and effectively. If you don't know how to do that then you have no right saying what can and can't be done, especially if you use probability statistics as your own personal crutch, and holy grail of failure.


cheese

Quote from: Gizmotron on October 02, 2010, 12:19:25 PM
I do. You can play through the bad streaks by minimizing the damage. You maximize the good streaks by attacking vigorously and effectively. If you don't know how to do that then you have no right saying what can and can't be done, especially if you use probability statistics as your own personal crutch, and holy grail of failure.

The only problem with this is, you often don't know you're in a good or bad streak until its almost over. The only system that really works is one that wins consistantly no matter whats happening.

gizmotron

Quote from: cheese on October 02, 2010, 05:22:36 PM
The only problem with this is, you often don't know you're in a good or bad streak until its almost over. The only system that really works is one that wins consistantly no matter whats happening.

How would you know? You are wrong about knowing what the conditions are. Your advice is nothing but sophistry. Time to cut the cheese.

John Gold

Quote from: cheese on October 02, 2010, 05:22:36 PM
The only problem with this is, you often don't know you're in a good or bad streak until its almost over. The only system that really works is one that wins consistantly no matter whats happening.

It is complex in my opinion because you can never be 100% certain of anything in gambling.
A small edge is still wide open to the short term variances that can deplete your bankroll at an alarming rate.
I tend to agree that you never really know excactly where you are until you have completed a particular phase or ended the session. However that does not mean you can't use your judgement along the way as Gizmotron suggests. I think it is prudent advice to reign yourself in if things are taking a turn for the worse and conversely adopt a more aggressive approach if things are going well.

cheese

Quote from: Gizmotron on October 02, 2010, 05:28:51 PM
How would you know? You are wrong about knowing what the conditions are. Your advice is nothing but sophistry. Time to cut the cheese.

I'm not wrong. The conditions are often all over the place, nobody can tell what direction they're going in without knowing the next few outcomes, and nobody knows that. You're talking about being prepared for bad streaks and you often don't even know you're IN a bad streak until its too late. The only thing that works is a consistant system that has no good or bad streaks, it just has predictable results no matter what the conditions.

gizmotron

Quote from: cheese on October 02, 2010, 08:39:34 PM
I'm not wrong. The conditions are often all over the place, nobody can tell what direction they're going in without knowing the next few outcomes, and nobody knows that. You're talking about being prepared for bad streaks and you often don't even know you're IN a bad streak until its too late. The only thing that works is a consistant system that has no good or bad streaks, it just has predictable results no matter what the conditions.

Let's break all that down.

1.) "The conditions are often all over the place, nobody can tell what direction they're going in without knowing the next few outcomes, and nobody knows that."

Just like all the math geniuses that play Roulette. You think that seeing the current conditions is all about predicting the future. And without that needed prediction device there can't be anything to it. Only one problem with that. You can see the current conditions without ever seeing the future. You might want to think about that.


2.) "You're talking about being prepared for bad streaks and you often don't even know you're IN a bad streak until its too late."

That's your problem. You react far too late. You must have no idea what to look for. And that doesn't bother you one bit to draw conclusions from your own lack of knowing. You are not qualified to comment. All you have is a childlike opinion and an impulsive reaction to being wrong.

3.) "The only thing that works is a consistent system that has no good or bad streaks, it just has predictable results no matter what the conditions."

That sums up your understanding of randomness perfectly. Your opinions amount to nothing more than "the blind attempting to lead the blind."

Herb6

QuoteJust like all the math geniuses that play Roulette. You think that seeing the current conditions is all about predicting the future.

How would you know?

You can't do the math.  ;D

gizmotron

Quote from: Herb6 on October 02, 2010, 10:29:18 PM


How would you know?

You can't do the math.  ;D


I can do the algorithm and you know it. And I know how to set it up and you don't. That's because you are clueless. So you attack what you are too stupid to understand. You are stuck with your one bullet in your shirt pocket just like Barny Fife has. Snowman/Herb internet troll.

cheese

Quote from: Gizmotron on October 02, 2010, 09:40:22 PM

3.) "The only thing that works is a consistent system that has no good or bad streaks, it just has predictable results no matter what the conditions."

That sums up your understanding of randomness perfectly. Your opinions amount to nothing more than "the blind attempting to lead the blind."

I know this much. You can 'read' random all day long and all it will give you is current conditions. It will never tell you whats coming next with any certainty. You can guess or predict or whatever, but it won't make the 'bad streak', as you call it, not happen. And you won't even realize its a bad streak until you're well into it. The very fact you're having bad streaks means you have poor method of play.

Herb6

Gizmo,

You've bragged about being a math idiot for years on GG and here.  Consequently, you don't know what's considered random and what's not.  :)

Herb6

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