Brett Morton wrote a book about roulette with hilarious claims being a roulette system player.
Hes favorites was playing against a sequence of six using parlay and certain money management.
I find it ridiculous how they can allow some one to publish a book like that.
Here I will test hes selection and money management.
1. I will pick any sequence that repeats with the same formation during 6 past trails.
2. He flat betting 4 times and start parlay after the first win.
3. Money management dictaces for example 8 units bankroll with win target 5 units.
If the win target is achieve he play with 3 units to achieve a win target of 8 units and pin point out selective bets at the end.
If it fails he stop with a 2 units win and go all in as long he treys to achieve 5 units target.
I test this as I think its fun.
good idea.
though i don't find him hillarious. Remember, we are talking hit-n-run, right?
nolinks://vlsroulette.com/bet-selection/22-number-bet-by-brett-morton-from-the-book-playing-to-win/msg48015/#msg48015 (nolinks://vlsroulette.com/bet-selection/22-number-bet-by-brett-morton-from-the-book-playing-to-win/msg48015/#msg48015)
Those are your words cookie aka lucky strike.
I remembered this thread only too well. E.G.Similarity John Patrick `s action numbers rung a bell.
so this Brett Morton is NOT A SCAMMER after all
Now I don't judge I will just enjoy having some fun regarding similar methods with a touch of Brett Morton.
He looks for past results that has similar formations like two blacks and two reads and two blacks witch is a patter of six trails.
Then he flat betting for four attempt - on a total loss -4 units witch is good as it is a small loss to try to capture strings of wins - if a win he start to parlay up to hes win target.
The money management use the push the bet forward to generate money and decrease on a loss - that is cool - but it depends on a very good win/loss strike ratio if its going to succeed with out getting to much bumpy rides witch can be very stressfull :-)
The money management works as follows.
If some one has a bank of 1000 Euro then you divide it into smaller parts depending on witch win goal target you will have, stop loss limit and so on.
Lets assume we use 80 Euro and divide the bank into smaller parts/games - then minimum bet size is 10 Euro witch is 8 units.
Bank for one game 80 and we set a lower win goal at 50 witch is more likely for us to achieve.
80 Bank
50 Win goal
Now when we are going to play we will risk 80 to win 50.
If we succeed we will continue to win 80 as a new win goal using safety nets that prevent us of losing it all when we achieve our main win goal of 50.
So if we achieve 50 then our safety net is 20 that we can not use - we can not lose more then 30 after we won 50 to win 80.
That means we have 30 or 3 units to achieve our new win goal at 80.
If we succeed then a new stage comes witch Brett Morton call jackpot and also a new safety net comes into play.
Here we safe guard our 50 and have 80 and can now risk 30 again.
Now its time to decide to stop or try to win a littel more.
80 Bank
20 Safety net 1
50 Win goal 1
80 Win goal 2
50 safety net 2
80 Stop or continue
Next I will test this and see how it works.
Ops i did not expect to win using Brett Mortons money management - but i guess its due to my bet selection - even if it should be the same so do i know that some has much higher stable hit ratio then others even if nothing is due to happen.
This is the results of 3 days or 3 x 300 trails with a total of 7 sessions.
I just try to hit +5 units or 50 as win goal to see how it perform.
So if i continue with does session all would have ended with at least +20 as the first safety net.
+70
+50
+60
+90
+50
+80
+60
Day 1 from random org.
1 1 1
2 1 1 L
1 1 2 L TRIGGER
1 2 1
1 1 1 L 1 -1
1 2 1 W 1 +0
1 1 1 L 2 -2
2 2 2 W 1 -1
1 1 2 W 2 +1
2 2 1 W 3 +4
1 2 1 L 4 +0
2 1 2 W 3 +3
1 2 1 W 4 +7
2 1 2 W
2 2 2 L
1 2 2 W
1 1 2 L
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
2 1 1
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 2 1 L
1 1 1 L
2 2 2
1 1 1 W
2 2 2 W
1 2 1 L
2 2 2 W
1 1 1 W
2 2 1 W
2 2 2 W
2 1 1 L
1 2 1 L
1 2 1
2 2 2 L
2 1 2 W
2 1 1 W
2 1 1 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
2 2 2
2 1 2 L
2 2 2 W
1 2 1 L
1 1 1 W
2 1 2 L
1 1 1 W
2 2 1 W
2 1 2 L
1 2 2 L
2 2 1
1 1 1 W
2 1 2 L
2 1 2 W
2 1 2 W
2 1 1 W
1 2 1 W
2 1 1 W
1 2 2 W
1 1 1 L
1 1 2 L
1 2 2
1 1 2 L
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 2 1 L
2 1 2 L
1 2 1
2 2 1 L
2 2 2 L TRIGGER
1 1 1
2 2 1 W 1 +1
1 2 2 L 2 -1
2 1 1 W 1 +0
1 2 1 W 2 +2
1 2 2 W 3 +5
2 1 1 W
2 2 1 L
2 2 2 L
1 2 1
2 1 2 W.
1 1 2 L
2 2 2 L
2 1 2
1 2 1 W
1 1 1 L
1 2 1 W
1 2 1 W
2 1 1 W
1 2 1 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
2 1 1
2 1 2 W
1 2 1 W
2 1 2 W
1 1 1 L
Day 2 from random org.
1 1 2
2 1 1 L
1 1 1 L TRIGGER
2 1 2
2 1 1 W 1 +1
2 2 2 W 2 +3
2 2 2 W 3 +6
1 2 2 L
2 2 2 W
2 1 1 L
2 2 1 L
1 1 1
2 1 1 L
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
1 1 1 L
2 2 2 W
1 1 2 W
1 2 2 L
2 2 2 L
1 1 1
1 1 1 W
1 2 2 L
1 2 1 L
2 1 2
2 2 2 L
1 2 2 L TRIGGER
2 2 1
2 2 2 W 1 +1
2 1 2 L 2 -1
1 1 1 W 1 +0
2 1 2 L 2 -2
1 2 2 L 1 -3
2 2 2
2 2 2 W 1 -2
1 1 2 W 2 +0
1 2 1 L 3 -3
2 2 1 W 2 -1
2 2 1 W 3 +2
2 1 2 L 4 -2
2 1 1 L 3 -5
2 2 2
1 1 1 W 2 -3
1 1 1 W 3 +0
1 1 2 W 4 +4
1 1 2 W 5 +9
2 1 2 L
2 2 1 W
1 1 2 W
2 2 2 W
1 1 2 W
2 1 2 L
1 2 1 W
1 1 1 L
1 2 1 W
2 2 2 L
1 2 2 L
2 2 2
2 2 1 W
1 1 2 W
2 2 2 W
2 1 1 L
1 2 1 L
1 1 2
2 1 1 L
1 2 2 L TRIGGER
1 2 2
1 1 1 W 1 +1
1 1 2 W 2 +3
1 2 1 L 3 +0
1 1 2 W 2 +2
2 2 1 W 3 +5
2 1 1 L
2 1 2 L
1 1 1
1 2 2 L
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 1 1 W
1 1 1 L
1 2 1 L
2 1 1
1 2 2 W
2 2 2 L
2 2 1 L
2 2 1
1 1 1 W
2 1 2 L
1 2 1 W
1 1 1 L
2 2 1 L
1 1 1
2 2 1 W
2 2 1 W
1 2 2 L
1 2 2 W
2 1 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 2 1 L
1 1 2
Day 3 from random org.
1 1 2
2 1 1 L
1 1 1 L TRIGGER
1 1 2
2 2 1 W 1 +1
2 1 1 L 2 -1
2 2 1 W 1 +0
1 2 2 L 2 -2
1 2 2 W 1 -1
1 2 1 W 2 +1
1 1 1 L 3 -2
2 2 2 W 2 +0
1 2 1 L 3 -3
2 1 1 L 2 -5
1 2 2
2 2 2 L 1 -6
1 2 2 W 2 -4
2 1 1 W 3 -1
2 1 2 W 4 +3
2 1 1 W 5 +8
1 1 1 L
2 2 1 L
1 2 1
2 1 2 W
1 1 2 L
2 1 2 W
1 2 1 W
1 2 2 W
2 2 1 L
1 1 2 W
2 1 1 L
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 1 1 W
1 1 2 L
2 1 1 W
2 2 1 L
2 2 2 L
2 1 1
2 1 2 W
2 2 1 L
2 1 1 L
2 1 1
2 1 1 W
2 2 1 L
2 2 1 W
1 1 2 W
2 2 2 W
2 2 2 W
1 1 2 W
2 1 2 L
1 2 2 L
1 1 1
2 1 2 L
2 2 1 L TRIGGER
2 1 1
2 1 2 W 1 +1
2 1 2 W 2 +3
1 2 1 W 3 +6
2 1 1 W
1 2 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 1 2 W
1 2 1 W
2 1 1 W
1 1 1 L
2 1 2 L
1 1 1
2 1 2 L
1 1 1 W
2 2 1 W
1 1 1 W
2 2 2 W
2 1 1 L
2 1 1 W
2 1 1 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 1 W
1 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
2 2 2
2 1 2 L
1 2 1 W
2 2 1 L
2 1 2 W
2 1 2 W
2 1 2 W
1 1 1 L
1 1 1 W
2 1 2 L
2 1 2 W
2 1 1 W
1 1 1 L
1 1 1 W
2 2 1 W
2 2 1 W
1 2 2 L
1 2 2 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
This is todays file and here we can see how close we are losing when we parlay with 80 or 8 units - also a loss with 4 units as the bet selection fails at the end of this file below.
+60
+50
+80
-40
2 1 2
1 1 1 L
2 1 1 L TRIGGER
1 2 2
1 2 2 W 1 +1
2 1 2 W 2 +3
1 2 2 W 3 +6
2 1 1 W
2 1 2 W
1 2 2 W
1 2 1 W
2 2 1 L
1 2 1 W
1 2 1 W
2 1 2 W
1 2 2 W
2 2 2 L
1 2 1 L
1 1 1
2 1 1 L
2 1 1 W
2 1 2 W
1 1 1 L
1 2 1 W
2 2 2 L
2 2 1 L
2 1 2
2 2 1 L
2 2 2 L TRIGGER
1 2 2
2 2 2 L 1 -1
1 2 2 W 1 +0
2 2 1 L 2 -2
1 1 2 W 1 -1
1 2 2 L 2 -3
1 2 1 L 1 -4
1 2 2
2 1 2 W 1 -3
1 1 2 L 2 -4
1 2 1 W 1 -3
2 1 2 W 2 -1
2 2 2 L 3 -4
2 2 2 W 2 -2
2 2 1 W 3 +1
1 1 1 W 4 +5
1 2 2 L
2 2 2 W
2 2 2 W
1 1 1 W
1 1 2 W
1 2 2 L
1 2 1 L
1 2 1
2 2 1 L
2 1 1 L TRIGGER
2 2 1
1 1 1 W 1 +1
2 1 2 L 2 -1
1 1 1 W 1 +0
2 1 1 L 2 -2
1 2 1 L 1 -3
2 1 1
2 2 1 L 1 -4
1 1 2 W 1 -3
1 2 2 L 2 -5
1 1 1 L 1 -6
1 1 1
2 1 1 L 1 -7
1 2 2 W 1 -6
2 1 1 W 2 -4
2 1 1 W 3 -1
1 2 1 W 4 +3
2 1 2 W 5 +8
2 1 2 W
1 1 2 L
1 2 2 L
2 1 2
2 1 1 W
1 2 2 W
1 2 1 W
1 1 1 L
2 2 2 W
1 1 1 W
1 1 1 W
1 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
1 1 1
2 1 1 L
2 2 1 L TRIGGER
1 2 2
1 1 2 L 1 -1
1 2 1 L 1 -2
1 1 2
2 1 1 L 1 -3
1 1 1 L 1 -4
1 1 1
2 2 2
1 2 1
2 1 1
1 2 2
Pretty cool results using gamblers fallacy and Brett Morton's money management :blink:
+70
+50
+60
+90
+50
+80
+60
+60
+50
+80
-40
won 650
loss 40
net 610 Euro
The bet selection capture repeats and back to back patterns during three trows with a dice that have four possibility's.
So if a dice with four sides have no repeat or back to back distribution during the first three trows during three cycles you have a total loss of 4 units or if the concentration/desecration during repeats and back to back patterns are to bumpy you lose 8 units during you way to achieve 50 or +5 units.
Here is a loss of 80 with bumpy ride from yesterdays file from random org.
1 2 1
1 1 2 L
1 1 2 W
1 2 2 L
2 2 1 W
1 1 2 W
1 2 1 L
1 2 1 W
2 1 2 W
1 1 2 L
1 1 1 L
2 2 1
1 1 2 W
2 2 1 W
1 2 1 L
1 1 2 W
1 1 1 W
2 2 1 W
1 1 1 W
1 2 2 L
1 2 2 W
2 1 2 W
2 2 2 L
2 2 1 L
1 2 1
2 1 1 W
2 1 2 W
2 2 1 L
1 1 2 W
1 1 2 W
2 1 2 L
1 1 1 L
1 2 2
1 2 2 W
1 1 2 L
1 2 1 L
2 2 1
2 1 2 L
2 1 2 W
1 1 1 L
1 2 2 L
1 1 2
1 1 2 W
2 1 1 L
1 1 1 L
2 1 1
2 2 1 L
1 2 1 L TRIGGER
2 1 1
2 1 2 W 1 +1
1 1 2 L 2 -1
2 1 1 L 1 -3
1 1 1
2 1 2 L 1 -4
2 2 1 L 1 -5
1 1 1
1 1 2 W 1 -6
2 1 2 L 2 -7
1 1 2 W 1 -6
1 2 1 L 2 -8
2 1 1 W
1 1 2 L
1 2 2 W
1 1 2 L
2 1 1 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
1 2 2
1 2 1 W
1 2 2 W
1 1 1 L
1 2 2 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 1 W
2 1 2 L
1 1 2 L
2 1 1
2 1 1 W
1 2 1 W
2 1 1 W
2 1 1 W
1 2 1 W
1 1 1 L
1 1 2 L
2 1 1
1 2 1 W
2 2 2 L
1 1 2 L
2 2 1
1 1 1 W
2 1 2 L
1 2 1 W
2 2 1 L
1 2 1 W
2 2 2 L
2 2 2 W
2 1 2 L
1 2 2 L
2 2 1
2 1 2 L
I go along with Brett Morton on the point that it's much easier to develop relationships with a dealer during the daytime and you should tip the dealer, if you want to win.