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Unconnected Coincidences

Started by Spike!, June 26, 2010, 06:39:22 AM

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Spike!

Gizmo keeps using the word coincidence and I think he's right to do so. Whatever relationship you see in past spins to each other is just a coincidence. One definition is 'a series of unconnected events that seem to be planned but are not'. So using past spins is looking for familiar coincidences that might continue to manifest themselves in immediate future spins. Unconnected events that give the illusion of cohesivness for short periods of time and can be exploited on a spin to spin basis. Difficult, but certainly doable.

Noble Savage

Quote from: Spike! on June 26, 2010, 06:39:22 AM
So using past spins is looking for familiar coincidences that might continue to manifest themselves

Or not. Change and continuity are equally probable. You haven't changed anything, you're still faced with a 50/50 situation that can't be "narrowed down" by simply looking at spins that already happened and ended.

But hey, you know better. You're smarter than everyone including top notch scientists, Nobel prize and fields medal winners.

Yawn.

gizmotron

Quote from: Noble Savage on June 26, 2010, 10:27:32 AM
Or not. Change and continuity are equally probable. You haven't changed anything, you're still faced with a 50/50 situation that can't be "narrowed down" by simply looking at spins that already happened and ended.

But hey, you know better. You're smarter than everyone including top notch scientists, Nobel prize and fields medal winners.

Yawn.

Yawn or not, you have been dragged kicking and screaming to acknowledge that you do in fact know one of the primary characteristics of Randomness, "Change and continuity are equally probable." Now comes the real test. Can you come up with an awareness of combining bet selection to the two possibilities? I say the secret comes from awareness of the three states. In its simplest form you make working scenarios out pace not working scenarios. Hence the need to flat bet balanced conditions. Ec's are balanced conditions for each spin. I happen to prefer two dozens per spin with two wins from two separate spins for every single loss to provide balance. With balance you can concentrate on the two characteristics that you mentioned.

Spike!

 You're smarter than everyone including top notch scientists, Nobel prize and fields medal winners.>>>

I'm not even smarter than you. All I know is that probability is not an exact science, there are far too many ways to slip through the cracks in the extreme short term.

Spike!

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