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can i take you out the zone for a sec.................

Started by macduff, April 27, 2010, 08:31:31 PM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

macduff

Quote from: Herb6 on April 30, 2010, 08:16:46 PM
Why would it be "due" to come in soon?

Is the dealer blocking some of the numbers from hitting once they've hit?

Aren't there still 37 pockets on the roulette wheel?
Isn't the chance of the 12 number section hitting still just 12/37?

The chance that you will see that 12 number section go 24 spins without hitting is (24/37) ^ 24.   Once you've waited that long, the chance it will go another 24 without hitting is (24/37) ^ 24.
so what you are saying is that a dozen could be gone for ever and never hit.by your own definition every number has the same chance.this is exactly why i would expect it to come in.     

Understand?

Herb6

Answer my questions if you can.  If not, then bring someone in that can. :)

Is the dealer blocking some of the numbers from hitting once they've hit?

Aren't there still 37 pockets on the roulette wheel?
Isn't the chance of the 12 number section hitting still just 12/37?


macduff

herb,you are starting to loose me. if you want to hear that a dozen has a slightly lower than 1in 3 chance of hitting then your maths are bang on.if you think that this is how it pans out when playing for say 50 spins then no i do not agree.
i was asking about betting on 24 numbers not 12,so your cast in stone formula does not apply to me.
why will no one come up with a best win loss on 3rd progression when betting on 2 dozs.
come on herb put yer maths to the test.   

macduff

btw,is being a perseverent member a good thing or a bad thing.  ???

WARRIOR

MADCUFF MAYBE I CAN HELP GO UNDER JONNYYN ITS ON THE FORM HE PARAYS BETS ON TWO DOZENS

macduff

does that mean he parlays bets on 2 dozens, could you explain this.

Herb6

Yes, the math still applies.

The chance of hitting two specific dozens in a row is 24/37 x 24/37 for a payoff that is less than the chance of hitting it. It sort of sucks how that payoff is always a bit short. :)

And no, you can't step outside of probability by waiting for two dozens not to hit either.

On a single zero wheel, the chance of two dozens not hitting for 24 spins is (12/37)^24 (If you want to wait around for this long to bet that it will hit, then the chance of them hitting when you bet on spin 25 is still just 24/37.

Again, nothing changes by waiting.

Like I said, the dealer isn't blocking each number after they hit.
37 pockets still remain on the wheel.
Therefore, each spin is an independent trial and the chance of hitting on any single spin doesn't change from one spin to the next.

-Herb6 :)

macduff

so by your reckoning a dozen could disappear for a week ,is that right.

Herb6

Theoretically, yes, it could.

The chance is remote, but it can happen.

balint

Macduff, I play  almoust every day two *dozens*,  two dozens can be any 24 numbers, or 8 streets.
Make your own dozens from streets, 3 groups A, B, C each one 12 numbers, 4 streets.
If you try something like this,  play AB,BC,AC(and others) , if one *dozen* disappear ,
do not affect you  to much.
Make your own dozens groups, 4 or 5 diffrent A,B,C(dozens) groups, and track all together,
and bet only after 2 or 3 LLL, or  bet  only after the (LL...) LW.....bet now until first
L appear. I see every day short  and long WWWWW  streaks.
Whit this you can skip 2 or 3 L s :

0,20/per street(total 8 streets), than 0,60,  ....1,80.........5,40  , skip 3 LLL s

or 0,50.......1,50...........4,50.....13,5   , skip 3 LLL s

just my opinion, and my way to play.

Spike!

so by your reckoning a dozen could disappear for a week ,is that right.>>

If it does disappear fo that long, check under the table, its probably sleeping under there.

Herb6

Fender,

All I can say is wow!  You have a great deal to learn.

Herb6


Spike!

Fender, All I can say is wow!  You have a great deal to learn.>>

He's another grad of Wendel University, leave him alone. Its a new math, a purer math, the true math. Quit being so damned jealous, Herb.

Herb6


Herb6

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