What is Educated Guessing?

[zippyplayer]

Have you two ever given any thought as to whats going to happen in 3    4   or  5   spins of a roulette wheel anyway...

[gizmotron]

Here is an example of what I mean:

See how section 2 (column 2) sleeps between spin 14 and spin 28? That's a natural hot streak.


| 1 2 3 |
|     X | -- 1
|   X   | -- 2
|     X | -- 3
| X     | -- 4
|   X   | -- 5
|     X | -- 6
| X     | -- 7
|     X | -- 8
|   X   | -- 9
|   X   | -- 10
|   X   | -- 11
| X     | -- 12
|   X   | -- 13
|     X | -- 14
|     X | -- 15
|     X | -- 16
| X     | -- 17
|     X | -- 18
|     X | -- 19
| X     | -- 20
|     X | -- 21
| X     | -- 22
|     X | -- 23
| X     | -- 24
|     X | -- 25
|     X | -- 26
|     X | -- 27
|   X   | -- 28
|     X | -- 29
| X     | -- 30
|     X | -- 31
|   X   | -- 32

[gizmotron]

Have you two ever given any thought as to whats going to happen in 3    4   or  5   spins of a roulette wheel anyway...

I'm not sure I understand your question. Do you mean 3, 4, or 5 spins in the future or those same spins in the past?

All I care about is the result of the next spin. That tells me how to react to the current conditions and the state of the current session.

[zippyplayer]

future spins

[gizmotron]

future spins

OK, well I don't look that far ahead because I plan on riding any streak long after that anyway, if it evolves that far. In other words I'm prepared to keep going. Everything I need is in the very next spin. It confirms continuation. It also confirms the beginning of any changes that might be starting.

So why do you ask? Do you see something of interest in spins that far ahead?

[darrynf]

im sure we think alike gizmo, anyway what i find hard about trends is you never know where the winning bet will be or come into play, the only way to take an advantage in a trend is to bet all spins, if its a 50 or 45/ 55 to wining then you could play every spin.

just my viewe anyway.

[gizmotron]

im sure we think alike gizmo, anyway what I find hard about trends is you never know where the winning bet will be or come into play, the only way to take an advantage in a trend is to bet all spins, if its a 50 or 45/ 55 to wining then you could play every spin.

just my viewe anyway.

It's a good view. And you are right that you don't know where the streaks are coming from. You must know that if you bet every spins, flat betting, then you will lose at the house's advantage rate. The trick is to live with those first losses. You must be the kind of player that doesn't get blown away by a few losses. I'm talking about big bet losses. Once you are prepared to fight like you are in the ring, where to deliver a punch you must take a punch, then you will be ready for how hard this is. It takes an adequate bankroll. It takes the calmness of mind to not be rattled by the beginnings of a steep downturn.

All this adds up to the difficulty of the session. The educated guess comes from the preparedness to take a punch and deliver one too. It's not that hard to grind away and stay even. If you won't attack the casino when the hot streak starts then you are surrendering your very best weapon. You must have that mindset. But that's just my view. It took me years to learn this.

[darrynf]

i agree with you gizmo.

but there are ways of getting around the house edge, its all about the strike rate.

[keel44]

I am very grateful Gizmo.

Could you explain how to qualify a trend for betting?  Is this qualification set in stone?  I would guess not, but what do you think?

[gizmotron]

I am very grateful Gizmo.

Could you explain how to qualify a trend for betting?  Is this qualification set in stone?  I would guess not, but what do you think?

Try to see if you can qualify an existing context that also supports any trend that you see. Randomness shifts in and out of this context. I taught myself to see this. Now I can't ignore it. I also didn't describe it. So MauiSunset won't be able to comment on something he knows nothing about. But that won't stop him from being a troll. Now there's an identifiable context.

[cheese]

What is Educated Guessing? What was Spike talking about? When do you know you have a working trend that you can follow with a bet selection that fit's it?

Spike never talked about educated guessing when using trends. Nice try.

[bombus]

Honestly,

who gives a rat's arse what spike said?

Show of hands, please...

[ReDsQuaD]

Honestly,

who gives a rat's arse what spike said?

Show of hands, please...

I totally agree. I think this is getting a bit out of hand now.

James.

[cheese]

Honestly,

who gives a rat's arse what spike said?

My point exactly! Gizmo mentions Spike more times in his posts than Jesus is mentioned in the Bible. Its obvious he worships him, and considers him the authority on roulette. Enough already, time to stand and fail on your own, Gizmo. You can't keep blaming everything on Spike.

[gizmotron]

My point exactly! Gizmo mentions Spike more times in his posts than Jesus is mentioned in the Bible. Its obvious he worships him, and considers him the authority on roulette. Enough already, time to stand and fail on your own, Gizmo. You can't keep blaming everything on Spike.

Still ignoring both cheese wiz and Spike wiz.

[gizmotron]

-