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Just my opinion, so far no simple system here works long-term yet

Started by bobbybobby, October 05, 2008, 12:35:55 PM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

hammy

Sammy,

You asked why I said :

"You can't call a system successful using test spins, it can only be judged using real money bets."

Well, as you probably already have experienced something funny happens when you put "real" money down on a system. Maybe it's "scared money", I don't know but a system can perform well with test spins and not so well with real money bets. That's all I meant when I said it.
However, if it still performs well in the long run with real money on the line, then you have a sound system.

To me, "in the long run" means you are still profitting (ahead in real money) after a couple of months play or after say 50 real money sessions. It means you have probably had a few setbacks but recovered.

cheers guys and gals !
hammy

TwoCatSam

hammy

You understand this is a friendly discussion, don't you?

Let me pose this question:  A system works on paper for 5,000 spins.  bj devises a software that will place real bets exactly as the paper test did only using real money.  Would it work?

Sam

hammy

sam,

no reason to say it wouldn't work, BUT the real test is real money bets   ;)
That's all I'm saying.

hammy

TwoCatSam

ham

I said:  only using real money. 

Then you said:  BUT the real test is real money bets

We're never going to get into an argument if you keep agreeing with me!

sam

Lanky

Quote from: TwoCatSam on October 12, 2008, 04:04:04 PM
ham

I said:  only using real money. 

Then you said:  BUT the real test is real money bets

We're never going to get into an argument if you keep agreeing with me!

sam


Hhahahahahahah Lmao @ Sam.

You are a gem.

Lanky.

hammy

ok, sorry Sam,  I think I see what you are saying.

would it work ?  I don't know ? did you try it with real money ? if so, did it work ?

This is still a friendly discussion, right ?   :-*

hammy

TwoCatSam


hammy

hope you don't lose all your quarters Sammy  ;D

good luck   :D

TwoCatSam

Thanks!!

I'll lose a few and win a few and we'll see what shakes out.

Samster

hideseek

Hi Bobby,
            CD's root system is the best system to follow. I beleive if anyone looks for a winning system, that is the one. Strict discipline and money management is the key. Good Luck to all of you.

bobbybobby

hi hideseek, thanks for your message.  :-)

by the way, i can't really find CD root system. can you kindly show me the link please? thanks  :-)




BobbyBobby

JHM

I think he means this

nolinks://vlsroulette.com/full-systems/clothdog's-root-system/

When you do a search, first click the magnifying glass and than select ''Match any words''.

MXkid77

Question:

How long is long term?

Your long term may be longer than mine but shorter than somebody elses?

TwoCatSam

bb

Bro, you've been posting for a year about the real money you won at CasinoWebCam and Ladbrooke's. 

$4,000 here and $5,000 there!  When are you going to loose if nothing works long term.

Sam

ryan08

simple systems do work, the way to make them win is to take advantage of probabilities, yes the game is independant trials but past spins are an indicator to what you your next bet could be, the probability that 10 red or blacks come up in a row is 2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2=1/1024, the chances of that happening twice in a row would be 1024x1024=1048576 strictly speaking - the 2.7% edge is around 1/1000000

now i hope my maths is correct for working out probabilities or im going to look at idiot lol! this is an extreme example but im pretty sure if this is correct i should be able to take advantage of a 1/1000000 chance of losing, and i understand that you wont bet 1000000 times before this appears but that should be possible to beat.

and 1 more thing, the maths on here says you should still lose to the house edge but remember roulette is not a game of maths, its a game of chances.

ryan08

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