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How many spins would you have to test a system on to be confident that it works?

Started by YakHairSandwich, June 27, 2008, 03:56:10 AM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

YakHairSandwich

I've been working on a system of roulette play that has tested in the positive for over 7,500 actual casino spins, and plan on testing it over another 7,500 before I decide to play it in the real casino for real money or not.

Would that be enough to verify if I've got a winner or not?

The method of testing I'm using is the book entitled "Roulette System Tester" that contains 15,000 actual casino spins on an American double zero wheel.

Is there any other data base of actual casino spins that I could gain access to so I can test my method on even more spins?

I'm also new to the board, and hope to become a valued contributor here.


lucky_strike

Hi.

Quotebefore I decide to play it in the real casino for real money or not

Exactly that is great thinking ;D

If you do your tests by hand then:

5000 is good.
10.000 is better.
100.000 is super.

One suggestion. Use TRNGs. Thats my opinion.

Cheers LS

TwoCatSam

Well, I wanted breakfast until I read your screen name!

I posed that same question a while back.  I had 5,000 under my belt.  Is this system designed for the American Wheel?  Are you in the USA?  I am.  If I find a system produces over 2,000 spins I will back it with real money, small bets, and test it live.  Lanky taught me you just can't learn properly until you sit down and play with your own money.  Not even your brother's money, but yours!!

See, I own that book, too.  You have ages to make your next bet.  At a casino you have a time frame. 

If your system were designed for the single 0 wheel, you could download spins daily from casinos around the world.

Keep us posted.

Sam

winkel

It depends on the chance you´re betting.

If you give me the chance I can give you the number of spins you have to survive..

br
winkel

I just found a list:

Abschließend fasse ich noch einmal zusammen, wie lange ein System im Gleichsatz im Plus laufen muss, damit der Beweis für eine positive Gewinnerwartung erbracht ist. Dabei runde ich die Steckenlänge auf.

how many spins must a system run flat bet to proof a positive probability:

2Dozens or 2Col.- 2 Dutzende oder 2 Kolonnen: 6.500 Coups
Even Chances - 1 Einfache Chance: 50.000 Coups (das ist vielen bekannt)
1 Doz. or 1 Col - 1 Dutzend oder 1 Kolonne: 25.000 Coups
Line - 1 Transversale simple: 61.000 Coups
5 numbers - 1 Kesselsektor mit 5 Zahlen (Zahl-2-2): 75.000 Coups
4 numbers - 1 Carré: 97.000 Coups
3 numbers - 1 Transversale pleine (oder Zahl-1-1): 133.000 Coups
2 numbers - 1 Cheval: 205.000 Coups
- 1 Plein: 420.000 Coups
incl. tip - 1 Plein mit Tronc: 100.000 Coups

YakHairSandwich

Yes, it's for the American wheel, and I live in Las Vegas!

I'll have no problem taking it to the real tables after I'm 100% certain that it works on paper.

I'll keep you posted on if it keeps working or not.




TwoCatSam

Yakster 

If you're living in Vegas, why would you bet the 00 wheel when Stratosphere has a 0 with a very low minimum?  However, as a fellow American, if you can beat the 00 wheel, I'm all for you. 

Sam

YakHairSandwich

Well, I do it because I'm betting on both zeros with my method, I don't like the single zero wheel, and it's hard to find them around town.


TwoCatSam

Well, Yak, my fellow American......

Are you going to share that sytem with bloom and I?

Sam in Oklahoma

Herb

Yak,

There are several single zero wheels in LV.

MGM has three
CP has three
Venetian has three
Stratosphere has one
Bellagio has two or three
Mandalay has at least one
Luxor has one sometimes two
Mirage has one
TI has one
Wyne has at least one to three of them.
Palazzio has at least one


pins

it shows a profit in 5000. spins . what is the profit. what is the losing streak. and how much do you out lay. and is it worth while.

pins

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