Idea about "Law of the Third"

[TwoCatSam]

I'm writing this as much as a note to myself as anything else.  An electronic post-it, if you will...........

What if we we started a new trot and waited for twelve numbers to come in a row with no repeaters?  What then if we only bet the six oldest to repeat?

Thoughts?

Sam

[winkel]

From my statistics:

in 32000 rotations
there were after 13 spins no repeaters: 2988
your chance to hit one of the first 13 numbers
in spin %
14 36,44578313
15 35,24096386
16 35,74297189
17 36,0107095      
18 35,10709505      
19 34,00267738      
20 34,57161981      
21 35,9103079      
22 35,24096386      
23 35,07362784      
24 34,63855422      
25 35,37483266

average 13/37 = 35,13513514
you need to kill the house-edge 13/36 = 36,11111111
to beat american roulette 13/35 = 37,14285714

br
winkel

[winkel]

in 32000 rotations
there were after 13 spins only one repeater 9011
11 numbers appeared
your chance to hit a number which appeared:

14 29,11898678      
15 30,05221642      
16 29,36340407      
17 30,14109543      
18 29,61893123      
19 29,16342629      
20 30,17442506      
21 29,81890901      
22 29,29674481      
23 29,63004111      
24 29,33007444      
25 30,01888679

average 29,72972973
to beat the house 30,55555556
to beat AR 31,42857143

your chance to hit the repeater again
14 2,97744695      
15 2,621930897      
16 2,84412843      
17 2,666370403      
18 2,555271636      
19 2,988556827      
20 2,733029663      
21 3,099655594      
22 2,599711143      
23 2,866348184      
24 2,77746917      
25 2,755249417

average 2,702702703
to beat the house 2,777777778
to beat AR 2,857142857

br
winkel

[TwoCatSam]

Thank you, winkle.

I would delete the whole thread, but your statistics may be helpful to others.

I see the folly of my idea.

Sam

[geoff365]

How long do we bet for? Are they the same numbers? Win goals and stop loss?

[TwoCatSam]

geoff

I wouldn't even try it; it was just a fleeting idea.  Winkel proved mathematically that it won't work.

Sam

[TwoCatSam]

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