Breaking Even......

[xman1970]

Hi Guys, 


Ok, we have tested for millions of spins & the result is we lost -2.7% 


Now the system can of been anything, my question is.....


Because it works exactly as the maths said it would, would playing with a progression / divisor now make it a winner ??


So come you maths guys & knowledgeable people what do you think ?



Many thanks to anybody who takes the time to reply.......


And no, I won't be starting a new HG thread & not tell anybody anything, because this is all theory....


Cheers......[smiley=beer.gif]

[ikarianman]

hello mate,i want to add something if you dont mind..
i am almost convinced that we dont loose  the 2,7% percent only in millions of spins,but theoritically we lose it in every spin ....even if we win,,we lose in every single spin ...that includes the spins that we put more chips on the table(our progression).

[xman1970]

hello mate,I want to add something if you dont mind..
I am almost convinced that we dont lose  the 2,7% percent only in millions of spins,but theoritically we lose it in every spin ....even if we win,,we lose in every single spin ...that includes the spins that we put more chips on the table(our progression).

Ok, Ikarianman fair point 

Let's say the system was flat betting one number, what would you say then

[ikarianman]

hmmm..kon-fu-sed would answer proffesionally to this answer I guess!if you mean flatbetting only one number...then you should win once  in 35 spins to be ahead 1 unit.or once in 36 spins to brake even..but in average after millions of spins we will win once in every 37 spins..that means that we we lose 1 unit for every 37 spins we play...
thats means that we lose 2,7 units for every 100 spins we play....
or a more fun...we lose 0,027 units for every spin we play...but  I am sure you know well these things and I am gone far from your post's subject,so I want to talk about this.
recently I am looking for a favorable situation on the table,that means that I am keeping track of what is happening.as favorable situations I concider the following examples.
the thing is that the numbers I will give are not fixed and you will understand
1)imagine you have a 15 repeat of even chances you rarely see this but if you concider 2 tablesx3 even chances=6 running at the same time so you will see this situation more often in 1 of them,and then you can bet against it
2)you have a repeat of a column or a dozen for six-seven times then you can bet against it.maths for sure say that a doz or a column can repeat 12-14 times.but who has seen more than 7 times repetition?for me the maximum is 8 times...
3)you see a pattern like BRRB,BRRB,BRRB, then you can bet against the BRRB,in hope of not repeating.
4) or you see in dozens or columns 1123,112x? which is very rare but you can see it in 2 hours 3 or 4 times   and  bet against 4th result(that would be 1 and 2 here)

I dont play inside because I cant afford to,so I play outsides.thats my embirical way of playing and I am getting very slow but nice results.and gennerally my progression is 1-1-2-4(just to brake even),and no more..most times I win in this mild brake even progression because I have been waiting for the favourable situation first and have more hits that misses..
cheers!! I hope I helped a little bit

[hoper35]

I count on a mild progression for a lot of my winnings but I was only a general mathie.  Someone who majored in math would know better.


Ron.

[hoper35]

-