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The Grail of Randomness

Started by crackers, March 30, 2012, 02:11:16 PM

0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic.

crackers

Do you understand the concept of graduated risk? It comes straight from
the mantra of Snowman. (He will like this) the odds of the next spin are fixed.
If I lose a bigger bet on an EC then sometimes I'll  place half that value on each of a 
double doz / col bet. Sometimes I'll place the full value on these double doz / col
bets. There's no fixed rule. But the risk for the next bet is 63% instead of 47%.
I've got a 500 BR so big deal that I'm betting twice as much at risk. I'm using
10 or 20 in an effort to get back the last loss.

crackers

Do you understand the concept of waiting to recover? Sometimes I'll wait
until I see a stronger opportunity to attempt to recover a single loss. It is
very important to learn how to recover. It must be done with patience. Always
attack the real opportunities but also keep track of how it's going. Kenny Rogers
is full of it when he says not to count your money at the table. What works for
poker does not apply well to Roulette and randomness.

albertojonas

Quote from: crackers on April 30, 2012, 06:53:38 PM
Do you understand the concept of waiting to recover? Sometimes I'll wait
until I see a stronger opportunity to attempt to recover a single loss.
i do it all the time, also i wait for a bet that i consider more "insured" to recover.

crackers

Here's a really interesting thing. I found a way to find elegant patterns more often. I use
the tens grouping. You don't need a chart for this. The one's are 1, 11, 21, 31. All these
numbers have a one in them. There are ten groups, one for each digit in the available
numbers. Some groups have only three numbers in their respective set. The zeros have
five on American wheel.

Often there will be a run of three or four sets. When that happens I attack it
with bets on the those numbers, on the inside table layout. When it's really
good those runs will go on for 30 spins or more. You can't help but get rich
while this trend continues.

cheese

Quote from: crackers on April 30, 2012, 06:47:37 PM
Do you understand the concept of graduated risk?

All progressions are 'graduated risk'. First you
bet 5, then 10, then 15, then 10 and back to
5. Or whatever. When you raise and lower your
bets its graduated risk. Its a progression.

cheese

Quote from: crackers on April 30, 2012, 05:01:14 PM
Anyone that places a bet after a previous bet is progressing.

Progressing at a flat rate. Not progressing
at a higher rate than the last bet. Progressions
are a mind trick. People think they can turn
a negative expectation game into a positive
expectation, and they can't.

cheese

Quote from: crackers on April 30, 2012, 05:33:49 PM
Spike tried
to sell me his secrets for $10,000 a couple of years ago.

Poor Gizmo. He resorts to outright lies to boost
himself up. You wish I had tried to sell you anything
for 10k, let alone 'secrets'. You're still King of
the Balonyfest.

crackers

Quote from: cheese on April 30, 2012, 07:45:22 PM
All progressions are 'graduated risk'. First you
bet 5, then 10, then 15, then 10 and back to
5. Or whatever. When you raise and lower your
bets its graduated risk. Its a progression.

That's fine. Its a progression. So what? I make it work for me. We will take the next year
to demonstrate that this progression works an why it works. As that happens another
progression will be shown to work. You will become more irrelevant than as you are now.

crackers

Quote from: cheese on April 30, 2012, 07:53:58 PM
Progressing at a flat rate. Not progressing
at a higher rate than the last bet. Progressions
are a mind trick. People think they can turn
a negative expectation game into a positive
expectation, and they can't.

What a cry baby you are. Aren't you the one claiming you can take a negative
expectation game and beat it? That's a progression without resolution if I've
ever seen one. Why don't you prove your 72% hit rate chump?

crackers

Quote from: cheese on April 30, 2012, 07:58:53 PM
Poor Gizmo. He resorts to outright lies to boost
himself up. You wish I had tried to sell you anything
for 10k, let alone 'secrets'. You're still King of
the Balonyfest.

Not only did he demand 10k but he demanded a percentage on my winnings. Yep,
he's a scammer.

crackers

IS ANYONE ENJOYING THE CHEESE AND CRACKERS SHOW?

Steve

I dont know why you two bother. There really are better things to do. But anyway, gizmo please dont post anything private here.

crackers

Quote from: Steve on April 30, 2012, 08:38:55 PM
I dont know why you two bother. There really are better things to do. But anyway, gizmo please dont post anything private here.

OK, I won't post the email where he made the offer. I doubt there would be legal
issues but perhaps there are in this modern world. Thanks for stopping me in time.

Steve

I have heard that cheese offered to sell something a long time ago. That alone is not reason to accuse someone of scamming.

What are you trying to achieve anyway gizmo? I may be ignorant here and dont know the full story, but as far as I know you claim to beat random, as does spike. But it seems you both accuse each other of dishonesty. Why bother?

crackers

Quote from: Steve on April 30, 2012, 08:54:38 PM
What are you trying to achieve anyway gizmo? I may be ignorant here and dont know the full story, but as far as I know you claim to beat random, as does spike. But it seems you both accuse each other of dishonesty. Why bother?

In a nut shell I'm sharing what I have considered trade secrets. He is not. I've kept things to
myself for over five years. This thread is where I'm doing it. Spike is just being Spike.
When he's not around there are no disruptions. There's no arguing going between
me and others here. I'm just attempting to politely answer questions.

crackers

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