single numbers or even money chances. it makes no difference. people think they have a better chance playing the even money chances. but there is no difference . their is one ceritanty. winning aint easy
A dog will never catch his own tail no matter how hard he tries.
Common sense should tell us that luck can neither be programmed nor tested..
Pims,
How are you doing with the ponies? Here in the US the next excitement will be the BELMONT ., the finale of the 2011Triple Crown.
Pins you are unknown with the French roulette. The EV of the even chances is 1,35 and the EV of the other chances is 2,7. Mixed bets have an EV of about 2,0 . The EV of American roulette with the double zero is 5,4.You are a donkey , if you play AR.
i maintain all bets on a roulette table single zero. are the same in the long run.
This is a capital mistake.You ignore the maths.Maths do not lie.
Quote from: pins link=topic=18802. msg136899#msg136899 date=1307089335
single numbers or even money chances. it makes no difference. people think they have a better chance playing the even money chances. but there is no difference . their is one ceritanty. winning aint easy
If winning was easy every one would be doing it and the casinos would not offer such beatable games.
It can make a difference.
It is not always about winning percentages and house edge.
The difference lies in the variance. Especially short term. I think we all know that.
Here is what I mean by variance.
How about 10 million players betting "3 spins your out".
First bet $1, for 3 spins on your favorite even money bet.
The most 10 million players could ever win would be $3 and the most they could lose would be $3. Of course they could parlay that first $1 into $8 and almost 1 in 10 would win $8. Dinner at McDs.
Now bet $1 straight up (00 wheel) same house edge but less chances of winning.
The most 10 million players could ever win would be $105 and the most they could lose would be still be $3.
The 182 players that hit their 3 numbers are having a very nice fancy dinner.
How many of those 182 parlayed? If 1 did they could have turned $1 into $46,656 (assuming you could make a $1296 SU bet)
How about the 20,231 players that hit 2 out of their 3 numbers. That $69 (without a parlay) still buys a very nice dinner.
How about the 748,470 (1 in 13) players that hit 1 out of their 3 numbers. That $33 still buys a nice dinner.
Variance does cut both ways. Still nice to have that choice.
Dumb topics need dumb answers.
All bets are not equal. I assure you winning bets are far more better than losing ones.
Now more seriously.
Every roulette session has at least one winning system to beat it. Problem?! is to find the right dinamic bet selection to match the present outcomes. One which adapts itself to rythm and frecuence, how and when "your" event/s is/are being spinned.
Cheers,
Carlos.
If you use proper the variance of small samples you can have a small profit.
The question is,are the ECs bets and the other bets equal?
On the French roulette you will lose 1,35% on the even chances and 2,7% on the others.They are not equal.You are a donkey betting on double zero roulette.
the house edge on the single zero is the same for all bets,.
Pins I cannot understand you!!I wrote it so many times and in some cases I have computed the house edge here on the forum.I think you do not know the difference between the French ,European and the American roulette.
For the French roulette the house edge or EV is for the even chances 1,35 and the others 2,7.For a mixed bet it is more complicated to compute the edge and is about 2,0.
Don`t make these mistakes in the future!!!
.
Quote from: Nathan Detroit on June 03, 2011, 06:46:46 AM
A dog will never catch his own tail no matter how hard he tries.
I have never heard that expression before, and I disagree. I have seen my dog catch his own tail many times.