I was reading through this guy's site at andruchi(.com) I am not endorsing his system and I have no intention of buying it (I only play at real casinos anyway) but he has obviously done a lot of number crunching and I was looking at one of his conclusions which is if you have seven unique numbers in seven spins you have 93% chance of getting another unique number within next 3 spins and even better chance if you got six unique numbers in 7 spins (one repeater.) Right now I am just looking at making one bet after seven spins for a unique number, so on double zeroe wheel (unfortunately that's all I have access to) if after 7 spins/7 numbers bet the other 31 numbers and win/net +5 or lose -31 (and start again after another 7 spins.) Too simple I'm sure but looking at real spin data the multiple +5 wins are outweighing the -31 losses by very good margin. Ofcourse a bad run could ruin all that and have only done limited testing but y'all might want to check it out... let me know what you think...
I think this runs along the lines of what Dyslexic was trying to do with the 100% RNG crack. (That a number hit once will repeat in eight or nine spins.)
Just put the math on it and you will see:
31 numbers out of 38 have a chance of 81,58 %
That means roughly you can win 4 of 5 bets.
For a loss you need 7 winning bets in a row.
make you mind on that
br
winkel
If you're tempted to give this system a try,
please don't. In spite of the apparent technical expertise of the author, and the slick appearance of the site, it's nothing but pure snake oil. :angry2:
Here is an extract from what he says about how the system works:
QuoteSo for example, in the 10,000 simulations I ran, exactly 8 unique numbers (and 2 repeaters) appeared in 10 consecutive spins approximately 24% of the time (roughly 2,400 times out of 10,000 simulations). If you know the probabilities above, then you know that the probability of 8, 9, or 10 unique numbers coming out in 10 consecutive spins is simply the sum of their probabilities (confer above): 24% + 42% + 27% = 93%. In other words, 8, 9, or 10 unique numbers (e.g. 8 or greater) will appear in any consecutive 10-spin sequence 93% of the time (that's more than 9 out of 10 times, try it yourself in the interactive example above). So if in 7 consecutive spins, 7 unique numbers have appeared (e.g. no repeaters by the 7th spin), then the probability of at least one more unique numbers appearing in the next 3 spins (to complete the 10-spin sequence) is simply the probability of 8, 9, or 10 unique numbers appearing, which we already know to be 93%. In other words, if 7 different numbers come out in 7 consecutive spins, there is a 93% chance that at least one of the numbers that have not come up (e.g. a new unique numbers) will show up in the next 3 spins (until the end of the 10-spin sequence). So at that point, we could bet on all those 30 numbers that have not come out for the next 3 spins and we would have a 93% probability of winning. That is, in essence, the basis of the Andruchi System (it's actually a bit more complicated as I will explain below).
The text I have highlighted is pure garbage. :nono: Your chance of success betting 30 numbers is
not 93%. In roulette you cannot ever say that "if some event has occurred, then the probability of such-and-such is..." It's pure gambler's fallacy.
Stay clear! :skull:
Quote from: simon on May 08, 2009, 03:05:38 PM
I was reading through this guy's site at andruchi(.com) I am not endorsing his system and I have no intention of buying it (I only play at real casinos anyway) but he has obviously done a lot of number crunching and I was looking at one of his conclusions which is if you have seven unique numbers in seven spins you have 93% chance of getting another unique number within next 3 spins and even better chance if you got six unique numbers in 7 spins (one repeater.) Right now I am just looking at making one bet after seven spins for a unique number, so on double zeroe wheel (unfortunately that's all I have access to) if after 7 spins/7 numbers bet the other 31 numbers and win/net +5 or lose -31 (and start again after another 7 spins.) Too simple I'm sure but looking at real spin data the multiple +5 wins are outweighing the -31 losses by very good margin. Ofcourse a bad run could ruin all that and have only done limited testing but y'all might want to check it out... let me know what you think...
I actually bought this guys system a while back from andruchi(.com) (and if you read through the whole site you'll see that the purchased system works a little bit differently than the system described by simon above) I know you guys are going to tear me apart for that, but it was all for the good of advancing my thoughts at attacking this game (I love puzzles) and it works out...sometimes, haha. (the game of roulette, by definition right there).
But, back to the point of my response. The system you describe above (the first one he describes on his site) actually does work out pretty often...very often actually. So, here's the decision I'm currently in the process of making:
Do I pay to have my Ten Spins to Win system coded for RXtreme to test on long term results
or do i pay to have the system described above (described in more detail at the site) coded for RXtreme to test on long term results?
I say 100% code your own method. How much is the cost of doing so? I would gladly contibute to the coding cost as I have enjoyed your method and believe it has merit. I am sure others would feel the same.