law of probability not true

[rjeaton1]

pretty sure those are all of the qualifications of a law. >>>

Its not a law. Just like Law of the Third is not a law, Law of Series is not a math law. Look it up.

I agree that the Law of the Third is not a law...

However, the fact that a run of two of the same color happening half as often as a run of one is a mathematical law...you can calculate it, as I demonstrated above.  If you'd like the script I wrote for RXtreme I'll happily upload it for you.  There hasn't been one set of 10,000 spins I've tested where it hasn't held true to the math...it always comes out to within 0.10% of where it is mathematically supposed to be.

I'm not saying it offers any betting advantage however...as you don't know when it one will happen as opposed to the other...but, they will average out...

You understand the math involved in regards to a roulette table Spike, I didn't think you would be arguing otherwise.

I mean, here is the math:

A run of 1 is calculated like this - 18/36 = 0.5 X 100 = 50% chance of happening

Now, to calculate a run of two you simply multiply the odds of an event happening once times the likelyhood of it happening once...like this

0.5 X 0.5 = .25 X 100 = 25% chance of happening... You can clearly see that over the long haul you'll see half as many runs of two as you'll see runs of one...

Again, if you want the script for RXtreme you'll see it isn't an "observation" that happens sometimes...it happens everytime...

[Spike]

It can't be exploited because it doesn't happen in a reliable and predictable manner.

[simon]

I did look it up and "the law of series" has nothing to do with the distribution of runs I was referring to.

rjeaton I re-read your explanation and understand the problem now, which is basically that you cannot have a chop without two events-- actually three events (B-R-B) occuring, and there is always a 50/50 chance at each event, well something like that, basically, there is no logical way to bet for a chop (if you find one, please let me know.)  thanks again.

[Spike]

I did look it up and "the law of series" has nothing to do with the distribution of runs <<<<

Sigh. believe me, what he described is called 'law of series' in gambling terminology. There is no 'law' of series, no law of the third, half the 'laws' people refer to in gambling are not laws at all, they are just too ignorant to know that.

[Gotrek]

Can't believe I have to side with the old geezer/wizard on this. . .


Law of probability, Law of third, etc, are NOT laws.  I'd call them "Suggestions".  As such they work sometimes and sometimes not. . .  about 50% actually.

[simon]

"I fought the law and, the law won.."

the 5.26 law always wins around here, and sends 'em packing...

[Spike]

I'd call them "Suggestions".>>

Actually, law of series is very close to a law. You will always get 50% 1's, 50% 2's, 50% 3's, etc in the long run on the EC's, its very reliable. By 3's I mean 3 in a row of black, even, whatever.

[Spike]

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