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What Does Gamblers Fallacy Mean To You?

Started by Spike!, April 23, 2010, 10:07:51 PM

0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic.

moles40

Quote from: Spike! on April 24, 2010, 05:15:06 AM
but there is no cause underlying the trend>>

That doesn't mean it can't be exploited.
>A trend without a cause is not really a trend>>

Sure it is. What difference does it make where it comes from. Its a short term trend, they come and go. Why are you so hung up on where 'real' trends come from? A trend is a trend.

Spot on,trends come and go all the time on the roulette wheel and  its just about knowing when they are going to appear and when they are going to change.

rrrbbbrrrbbb-i started at that point-next 6 spins rrrbbbr :yahoo:

Practice practice and practice is the answer before you even start your attack on the casino's,i'm only just beginning to understand these short term trends on the roulette wheel,and i will carry on testing for a long time before i even start playing with real money.

Sure it will be worth it in the end,put in the effort to learn this stuff properly and reap the rewards later,shame most people won't bother because what i'm slow discovering is frankly astonishing and if it wasn't for people like Spike and Gizmotron i would never have found out about this ,amazing :good:


Herb6




Genius in the Making:The "Mole Brothers" were early trend spotters.
Pictured above: Spike Mole and Gizmotron Mole.

Noble Savage

Quote from: I have cookies on April 24, 2010, 07:24:59 AM
I agree to that  :lol:

Patterns Trends 123456789 10 20 30 change jack s**t if you play with or againt or try to out guess if it is going to rain or not - no matter how good you play an piano  :lol: with one bet 100K  :lol:

lol :biggrin:

Nathan Detroit

ROFLMAO. :haha:


P.S
One  looks like  Cosmo Kramer of the Seinfeld show.

gizmotron

Quote from: Bayes on April 24, 2010, 04:59:32 AM
... A trend without a cause is not really a trend, it's just a repetition of events which must occur in any random sequence.

So take advantage of the "repetition of events which must occur in any random sequence."  Your problem is not in identifying the existence of a trend or even whether or not there is a reason for it. Your problem is in knowing how to take advantage of things that occur as nothing more than coincidence. There is no cause for something continuing or ending. You control the situation by selecting which way to bet. You can be the only effect that has force. You just don't know what to do or why you don't know it.

gizmotron

Quote from: bombus on April 24, 2010, 06:45:54 AM
@ Gizmotron,

Who's work is that colour splatter abstract?

That's Jackson Pollock.

gizmotron

Quote from: I have cookies on April 24, 2010, 07:24:59 AM
I agree to that  :lol:

Patterns Trends 123456789 10 20 30 change jack s**t if you play with or againt or try to out guess if it is going to rain or not - no matter how good you play an piano  :lol: with one bet 100K  :lol:


Why must you change things in order to make advantageous moves? You don't need to change things in order to win more than you lose. You just need to guess more times correctly. Still trying to think inside the math box? Yes, you are.

gizmotron

Quote from: Herb6 on April 24, 2010, 10:37:06 AM
Genius in the Making:The "Mole Brothers" were early trend spotters.
Pictured above: Spike Mole and Gizmotron Mole.



Herb finely makes me laugh. Very funny.

I have cookies

QuoteYou just need to guess more times correctly. Still trying to think inside the math box? Yes, you are.

Impressive  :lol:

PLZ read this again I could not belive it and had to read it twice  :lol:

QuoteHere's a really good question and try to answer it honestly. You've decided to place a 100K bet on red or black and the casino has said OK. Would you just randomly pick R or B or wait till you see something like RRRR B RRR B RRRR B
and go with the trend and bet red? I would always bet red.

Be honest!

WOW that is deep  :lol:

QuoteI would play red

as it would exist an difference !!!

gizmotron

If my bankroll was 1,000,000 then I would bet red at 100,000.

Spike!

because what I'm slow discovering is frankly astonishing >>>

Shh, don't tell Herb, he still hasn't gotten over tornado's being astonishing. He chases after them and stands outside his truck with his mouth hanging open and wonders 'What now?'

Spike!

The "Mole Brothers" were early trend spotters.>>

They spotted a trend in their family that nobody ever reached 3rd grade.

I have cookies

QuoteIf my bankroll was 1,000,000 then I would bet red at 100,000.

This is intressting.

The scale would be 10 attempts to gain minimum +1 and that does 10 attempts would overcome the amount of times you gain +1 or above.

I understand that not all see the significant point with this ... my only comment is - ridiculus ...

Cheers

Bayes

QuoteSpot on,trends come and go all the time on the roulette wheel and  its just about knowing when they are going to appear and when they are going to change.

Yes, trends come and go all the time. You "just" need a crystal ball to take advantage of them.  :haha:

If you don't have a  crystal ball, you can jump on an (apparently) emerging trend just like Gizmo recommends. Nothing is stopping you playing trends. The problem is, the number of times the trend continues (and you make a profit) vs the number of times it doesn't (and you make a loss) adds up to a loss. Anyone can prove this for themselves with enough time and effort (and preferably some programming skills).

This has been done time and time again and has shown to yield no advantage whatsoever. If you're not convinced, then do the work yourself and move on.

MiniBaccarat

G'day,

I have yet to be rude in any post that I've made (under this username),
BUT, I have cookies, Jordan27 & Bayes your lack of actual knowledge on this subject
is not only laughable but has me feeling the way the first people trying to extol the belief
of 'a round earth' to the ignorant flat earthers that can't / won't evolve!

All 3 of you mention portions of my always winning system!


MiniBaccarat

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