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Homeito

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References?
April 20, 2009, 05:11:06 AM
If Black has hit 30 times in a row there is both a possibility and a probability for it to hit again.
But maybe it is not very likely?

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Roulette Misconceptions Debunked by Homeito Bemek
homeito. comlu. com

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Shorty

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Re: References?
April 20, 2009, 06:47:11 AM
I don't think you will find much (if anything) on the Law of Thirds because it isn't actually a law. More like an observation.
@pro_gamble

bliss

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Re: References?
April 20, 2009, 07:21:15 AM
Hi guys, you might find my humble contribution of interest:

http://vlsroulette.com/reference-area/some-math-and-the-%27law-of-the-third%27/

winkel

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Re: References?
April 20, 2009, 08:04:41 AM
Hi Homeito,

search for "Gauss", who found this distribution

and search for "Poisson" or Poisson-Distribution", who put the math on it.

br
winkel

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Number Six

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Re: References?
April 20, 2009, 09:58:10 AM
Homeito,

Of course, Shorty is right. It is not a law at all. More of a phenomenon. As for references, there are very few, if any, on the internet. There are a lot of sellers pushing flawed progression systems based in the law, but none of them fully explain what the law is and why it can be used. Although the law is easy enough to understand, exploiting it is a whole different ball game. There is one particular seller who created a piece of software to exploit the law but it seems his method, for some reason or another, doesn't work. His website is filled with detailed theory. I'll PM you the address.

Homeito

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Re: References?
April 20, 2009, 07:17:57 PM
Hello,

Thank you to all for the information.
It is much appreciated.


Tomorrow is Google-time 8)

Bliss I read your post... Will re-read it tomorrow.
Maybe I will understand then.
Thank you.


Best regards
Homeito Bemek


"Roulette Misconceptions debunked by Homeito Bemek"
http://web.telia.com/~u35312066/

(Nothing for sale and no advertising - only what the title says)
If Black has hit 30 times in a row there is both a possibility and a probability for it to hit again.
But maybe it is not very likely?

__________________________________________________________
Roulette Misconceptions Debunked by Homeito Bemek
homeito. comlu. com

Homeito

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Re: References?
April 28, 2009, 05:55:57 PM
Hello,

This is a very interesting subject.
I just wish I know a lot more math than I do...

One thing is that it seems as each explanation explains different things.
As everybody has his own interpretation.
I think I will have to investigate my spins to see myself what happen on a daily basis live in a casino.

Later.


Best regards
Homeito Bemek
If Black has hit 30 times in a row there is both a possibility and a probability for it to hit again.
But maybe it is not very likely?

__________________________________________________________
Roulette Misconceptions Debunked by Homeito Bemek
homeito. comlu. com

*

Number Six

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Re: References?
April 28, 2009, 06:54:41 PM
Homeito,

Read a little on Poisson at wikipedia, or google it and you may find extracts from various books by acredited mathematicians and gaming experts explaining that the underlying point of the law of the third is that you would have to run hundreds of trillions of trials before you found one where all 37 numbers arrived in a rotation of 37 consecutive spins. Of course, they don't call it the "law of the third", all they do is dispell gaming myths and teach the rookie gambler about basic probability theory. Remember that the law is just a statistical average and doesn't follow any concrete rules. Exploiting it is difficult, but considering that at least several numbers are pretty much guaranteed to repeat during the rotation, it is not impossible. The trick is to design a system with different inbuilt elements that both compensate for and capitalise on an array of circumstances.

Homeito

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Re: References?
April 28, 2009, 07:20:37 PM
Hello,

Number Six...

Thank you for the hints.
My "problems" are two:
A: I do not know enough math to really follow what is explained in math... (in this case  8))

B: I am really not interested in what happen in trillions of spins or math averages or such things.
I want to know what happen during a day or even less.
Or better: What can I expect while I am there?

I can use my 700000 spins as one long stream to collect data but that is not correct the way I look at it.
The casino closes (at least where I use to go and Wiesbaden too) and everything is restarted the next day.
So the flow of numbers will be interrupted (how shall I express it?)... Do the formulas and math theories calculate with that?
Maybe that affects things to be just a little "off-maths"?
Maybe not?
Maybe I will investigate such things?

Just for fun if nothing else.


BTW. I wrote
Quote
As everybody has his own interpretation.
above but mean "As IF everybody...".


Best regards
Homeito Bemek

If Black has hit 30 times in a row there is both a possibility and a probability for it to hit again.
But maybe it is not very likely?

__________________________________________________________
Roulette Misconceptions Debunked by Homeito Bemek
homeito. comlu. com

*

Number Six

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Re: References?
April 28, 2009, 07:47:24 PM
The law of the third IS an average. It's nothing else. As for your 700,000 spins, you can use them as one continuous data stream, mix them up, reverse them, turn them inside out. It doesn't matter because each outcome is random.

If you were to divide the 700,000 outcomes into intervals of 37, you would get 18,918 complete separate sets. If you counted how many different numbers appeared in each set, added up the total and divided it by 18,918, you would get a figure of approximately 24. On average, in every 37 spin interval, 24 numbers will hit and 13 won't.

Point being, if you went to a casino now and used a well-designed law of the third system, the probability that you will leave in profit is overwhelming.





 

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