Idea for a Bankroll Progression.

[bombus]

I have never had much luck with up as you win progressions, but same as everyone else, would like to capitalize on favourable fluctuations.
Whenever I employ a positive progression with short term results things invariably work against me.
I have been thinking perhaps I am trying to scale up the bets too quickly. After all, these fluctuations appear much more stable after a decent spin sample than they do from spin to spin.

So here is my idea for a positive bankroll progression.


Starting bank 1000 units. Bet 1 unit for 144 spins.

144 spins = 1st checkpoint.
Bank below starting balance = Bet 1 unit until next checkpoint.  (Betting 1)
Bank above starting balance but not doubled = Add 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 2)
Bank starting balance doubled (2000 & above) = Add 2 units until next checkpoint. (Betting 3)

288 spins = next checkpoint.
Bank below previous checkpoint balance = Bet 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 1)
Bank above previous checkpoint balance = Add 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 2, 3 or 4)
Bank above 3000 = Add 2 units until next checkpoint. (Betting 3, 4 or 5)

432 spins = next checkpoint.
Bank below previous checkpoint balance = Bet 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 1)
Bank above previous checkpoint balance = Add 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6)
Bank above 4000 = Add 2 units until next checkpoint. (Betting 3, 4, 5, 6 or 7)

576 spins = next checkpoint.
Bank below previous checkpoint balance = Bet 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 1)
Bank above previous checkpoint balance = Add 1 unit until next checkpoint. (Betting 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 or 8 )
Bank above 5000 = Add 2 units until next checkpoint. (Betting 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9)

And so on, with checkpoints every 144 spins. Always back to 1 unit bets whenever the balance drops below the previous checkpoint balance.

Any input/questions are welcome.

Cheers

[bombus]

Hmmm... maybe a really tough dispersion would completely erode the profits if it came while betting say 8 or 9 units for 144 spins... perhaps it should only be betting either 1 or 2 units, and ignore the 1000 unit gain increments? I will have to test several combinations, I guess.

[kav]

This is really interesting and IMO you do very well to take overall BR into account.
But the checkpoint seem awfully long.
Try to shorten them. Especially if you are talking about EC. I mean, this MM (money management) can work also for splits or streets. In any case I consider your checkpoints to long. Favorable fluctuations rarely last that long. Try around 50 spins for each checkpoint. Maybe even less.

[kav]

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