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Personal Permanence

Started by kav, April 06, 2010, 07:00:31 AM

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kav

(this is  continuation from a previous discussion, but I think it deserves its own thead, so I post it here)

As you have seen so far, roulette players' views on the Personal Permanence are mixed -to say the least. Some say that it is true, others say is so obvious they knew it already, others find it crazy and wrong (albeit obvious!?$#) and the lazy ones do care to understand, just want to "get to the point" and "tell the system".

Now take a step back and think about it again. If you chose roulette outcomes randomly from many places and wheels you can form a "Personal Permanence" that conforms with all the laws of probability as they were continuous results from the same wheel.

First we need to clear up the "take random results" thing. Which results can be considered random enough to be included in our PP [Personal Permanence] ? Not every wheel result we observe is random.

What we will NOT include in our PP:
1) For simplicity's shake we will not include any RNG results, will will only consider real spins from a wheel. (theoretically it is possible to make a P out of RNG outcomes, but we will go into th debate if they are truly equal to real wheel outcomes which is another subject altogether

2) Since we want randomness, we can not choose the numbers we will include. Therefore it is better to decide what to include before we know the exact outcome (numbers). For example if you are wandering in a casino and you eyes saw many times the number "8" on the tables lightboards, or if every time you took a closer look at the wheel the outcome was "8", you can not add these "8" to your PP. Because you noticed them only after they have come.

The general rule is that you cannot chose spis to include after you know specifically their outcome.

What we can include in our PP
The rule of thumb for all PP players is this:
Your PP is the exact order of all the numbers produced only by (and by all) the spins you placed a bet.
This means if you want  rock solid PP you must include only spins on which you had a bet on, you must include all the spins, and the outcomes should be added in the right order (older outcomes first newer last)

(In fact the PP is more flexible that that as long as you keep it totally random. For example if a day you go to the casino without carrying a pen you can decide beforehand that this session will be excluded from your PP. Bu this must be decided before you start betting.)

What are the effect of PP?

First of all the PP renders the concepts of "roulette session", "session bankroll", "win target" etc. useless. If they have any meaning it is purely a psychological one. We are playing one long roulette session all our life.It really stops only when we stop for good and never play roulette again.

Secondly, building  PP let's you observe and analyze a much larger number of spins before betting; instead for example the 16 spins present on a roulette board. Furthermore, because the PP grows as yo play you are able to notice the swings and trends and sleeps and wake up as they happen.

So start writing down the outcomes of the spins you bet today and build your own Personal Permanence.

(to be continued)


kav

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