Why Practice Makes Perfect

[Spike!]

>>but what he doesn't understand is why it is impossible for it not to apply to him since whatever method he uses >>

Where did I ever say variance doesn't apply to me??

>>whatever method he uses that considers past spins will perform no better or worse than random betting.>>

Totaly untrue. The more of an edge you get from reading past spins, the less your variance.

[Rheti]

The nice thing of a 25 numbers bet, there are always 2 winners and only one is losing.
Except for the zero (because of coverage) there are 3 winners.

Let's take a look more closer at the first 20 spins.

                 angel-other     angel-q3    other-q3

Section-1    3/4                   4/4             1/4        
Section-2    6/6                   2/6             4/6
Section-3    4/10                 7/10           10/10

After a zero: no bet.

Let's define a target:  the bet bet will be a 4 euro bet on 25 numbers, when winning 44 euro profit.

Or if there's a huge trend : a bet on only 1 13 number sequence, if winning a profit of 92 euro.

the target for the day  : a range of 32-44 euro profit. No progressions.

The last spin was a seven: section 3.

What will be y'r next bet ?

[bombus]

buggered if'n I know, mate...

[Rheti]

Personally,I do'nt want to be involved, simple by the fact i know the score of the next spin.

I divided the Wheel into 3 sections of twelve.. It's a follow up system.



So seven is a section 3 number.

Where will it spin ? into angel-other or angel-q3 or other-q3 ?

I gave you the first 20 spins..

Let's see if this system will be profitable in the long run ..

[Rheti]

For all clarity, you do'nt have to bet, if you see more chances in the other sections..

2 losses of 100 euro, will be a stop-loss for the day. ?

[bombus]

You practicing this, Spike?

[Rheti]

You practicing this, Spike?

Probably Not.. he's a 50% player, i think.

But the general question is, if you look at the first twenty numbers,there's a trend.

The question is: will it be broken or will it continue ?

[Rheti]

angel-other     angel-q3    other-q3

More Info for the trend-players:

Section-1
WWL
LWW
WWL
WWL

Section-2
WWL
WWL
WLW
WLW
WLW
WLW

Section-3
WLW
LWW
LWW
LWW
WLW
LWW
LWW
WLW
LWW
WWW

               

[Number Six]

Totaly untrue. The more of an edge you get from reading past spins, the less your variance.

You can't get an edge by looking into the past, that is the point. If each spin is independent from all the others, past spins should mean absolutely nothing at all. And it's true. They don't mean anything. There is nothing "happening", there is only what has just happened. The chances of that continuing versus the chances of that changing are exactly the same and it's impossible to predict which way it will go. There is no present.

Here's a question: when you place a bet are there always 38 pockets on the wheel, and when the ball is spinning, does it have an equal chance of falling into any of those said pockets?

If the answer is yes, then you're 72% hit rate is a hoax because the real parameters of the game cannot ever be superseded or replaced by something YOU just made up. If you answer no, you're wrong.

[Spike!]

You can't get an edge by looking into the past>>>

No, YOU can't get an edge, don't speak for me.

>> past spins should mean absolutely nothing at all.>>

But they do mean something, they mean everything as far as the next bet is concerned.

>>a hoax because the real parameters of the game cannot ever be superseded>>

Wrong. But its not your fault, its what you were taught. I don't blame you for your limited views. As long as the casino continues to feel the same way you do, I'm happy.

[Number Six]

Where is the answer to the question?

You wrote: >>a hoax because the real parameters of the game cannot ever be superseded>>Wrong



Here's a question: when you place a bet are there always 38 pockets on the wheel, and when the ball is spinning, does it have an equal chance of falling into any of those said pockets?

If the answer is YES, the parameters can never be replaced or superseded and your hit rate on ECs can never be better than 18/38 or 37. It isn't about what I was taught, if you can count it's a clear fact of life.

[Noble Savage]

Agreed. It should be obvious.

[Spike!]

the parameters can never be replaced or superseded and your hit rate on ECs can never be better than 18/38 or 37.>>>

If you get correct clues from past spins, you can do better than 18/38 or 37. Much better if you get good at it. The parameters you state are for random against random. You erroneously conclude thats the best you can ever do.

>>parameters can never be replaced or superseded and your hit rate on ECs can never>>

You state that like its a fact. The fact is, you can't prove with math that an edge can't be gotten from past spins. Its an assumption based another assumptiom that you can never do better than a random bet selection.

[Spike!]

The fact is, you can't prove with math that an edge can't be gotten from past spins.>>>

I'm just sayin...  

[Spike!]

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