Bet Selection Is the God of Roulette

[Spike!]

As soon as you sit down to play roulette, your're in the long term, because thats where the game is. The math that applies to the Law of Series is at work on all the roulette tables in the world that are spinning. If you see 8 reds in a row, 8 blacks in a row have appeared somewhere else to balance it. Its governed by the Law of Large numbers, the tiny amount your table produces will never balance itself. You never have to worry about short term or long term, your only consideration is the next spin and bet selection.

Bet selection is god in roulette. What you choose to bet on, on a spin to spin basis, determines if you'll win or lose. All you have to worry about is the next spin, all your attention has to be focused like a laser on the next spin. Its all the casino ever pays you for. Systems fail because they never care about the next spin, they focus on the broader view. There is no broader view when dealing with random outcomes. There's only the next spin, never anything beyond that.

[A3on47]

But to make some good guessing about the next spin we need some information...
Or we get it on the wheel (bias) or in the croupier (dealer signature) or in the pas spins (Systems)

[Noble Savage]

Once you flip a coin, the chance of it landing on heads is not 50%. It is either 0% or 100%.

That's right, it is either heads or it is not. Once the coin is flipped, the 50% probability means nothing. Such probability is based on an expected average that is itself based on multiple, even 10,000 flips or more, that have nothing at all to do with the outcome of the single real flip that is happening at this moment.

We make a terrible mistake and waste our money by solely relying on statistical abstractions (law of series, law of large numbers, etc.) and by applying them to a particular casino, table, session, or set of past spins to determine what is "good" or "bad".

Again, the single coin flip is either heads or tails. What has happened for all time past and all time future has nothing at all to do with the outcome of the moment. It truly is a single event.

Roulette can be mastered if you concentrate your efforts on how you will react to the spin rather than desiring to predict/guess it. Reacting is a business decision, predicting/guessing is an ego play.

Professional players want to make money. If the majority of such single bets have a slightly higher than expectancy hit-rate (and using correct money management), they average out to a long term advantage and the occasional losses wouldn't matter in the long run. An advantage player is therefore any player who possesses such advantage (regardless of the exact method used) through such effective approach to bet selection.

Guessers (prophets) want to be right (ego). And that's all that they are concerned about.

I always say this to myself:

Don't decide anything (ego), let the wheel/ball do that job for you (business).

[Spike!]

>>Roulette can be mastered if you concentrate your efforts on how you will react to the spin rather than desiring to predict/guess it.>>

The last ditch effort of people who have no patience to investigate whats really going on.

Guessers (prophets) want to be right>>

And you don't? A minute ago we were predicters and guessers, now we issue prophesies? Gimee a break.

>>Don't decide anything>>

That says it all for AP players. They know they can't come up with awinning bet selection, everybody told them so. Don't decide anything, take the easy way out. Just stare at the wheel and guess where the ball will land. Its the Special Olympics of roulette play.


This is how Noble Savage feels when he wins at AP:

[Noble Savage]

That says it all for AP players. They know they can't come up with awinning bet selection, everybody told them so. Do don't decide anythng, take the easy way out. Just stare at the wheel and guess where the ball will land. Its the Special Olympics of roulete play.

If you say so.

On a less serious note, after how many beers did you write that?
I can't predict the future like you do, but I can sure detect drunken posting.

[Spike!]

I don't drink at home, I was in a hurry. Isn't that you look like when you win at AP? Thats how you feel, admit it.

[Noble Savage]

You tell me, you're an AP (I.e. Advantage Player).

You do have an advantage right? That's all you need to be an AP.

[Spike!]

No way I want to be included with AP guys. I have a true edge, not a works today, maybe not tomorrow thing. I can walk up to any table in the world and play. Thats a true advantage.

[A3on47]

I see you talk a lot Spike ..
You're one of the few guys who claims to win (not counting all the scammers) without using AP
I would like to see that one day ... No irony in here 

[simon]

definition of "retarded":  reading Spike's posts and thinking you have learned something of value.

or rather:  reading Spike's posts, and thinking you have learned something.  

[Jean-Claud]

Why WHY Spike u didn t take ur pill again today???

How many times do I have to rtemind u that Roulette can NOT been beaten without AP?

The last time u realised that...Ur doctor and I we were sp happy about U!

Now U skiped ur pills and U are in the same brain illusion again.!


Now take ur pill and repeat after me:

"Me Spike I know that Roulette can NOT been beaten.And the proof is that I NEVER play Roulette.I Just sit homme and I pretend in the VLS that I can beat Roulette."

Double ur dosages Spike...I pray to God everyday for U!

[Noble Savage]

lmao!

[A3on47]

I love how every different thread, every different discussion will end in the same way... Everyone blaming each others 

[Davey-Jones]

No way I want to be included with AP guys. I have a true edge, not a works today, maybe not tomorrow thing. I can walk up to any table in the world and play. Thats a true advantage.

How can walking up to any table in a casino and PLAYING be an edge? Last I checked anyone over 21 or 18 in some countries has that ability. Wow! Everyone has Spike's edge! The truth finally comes out.

[Davey-Jones]

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