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Yet Another Form of Gamblers Fallacy!

Started by Spike!, July 05, 2010, 01:40:45 AM

0 Members and 3 Guests are viewing this topic.

Noble Savage

Quote from: bombus on July 05, 2010, 07:37:11 PM
Is this GF?


You take 4 groups of 9 numbers and watch the first spin.

Let's say group 1 hits. At this point, which of the 4 groups is more likely to hit twice in the next 3 spins?

You watch another spin.

Let's say group 2 hits. At this point, which of the 4 groups is more likely to hit twice in the next 2 spins?


- Yes it's GF
- Neither
- Neither

:ok:

Quote from: Nathan Detroit on July 05, 2010, 07:51:46 PM
The  only  question remaining  : What is a good  liberal ???

I'm not American, nor am I a liberal. But I know this:

Republicans are a bunch of f**ktards.

Carpanta

Quote from: bombus on July 05, 2010, 07:37:11 PM
Is this GF?


You take 4 groups of 9 numbers and watch the first spin.

Let's say group 1 hits. At this point, which of the 4 groups is more likely to hit twice in the next 3 spins?

You watch another spin.

Let's say group 2 hits. At this point, which of the 4 groups is more likely to hit twice in the next 2 spins?



This produce a skillfull guess:

Once more again. I believe nobody read it when i first wrote it.

The wheel (0 wheel, by the way) has 4 sectors:

sector 1 numbers 32 till 34
sector 2 numbers 6 till 10
sector 3 numbers 5 till 9
sector 4 numbers 22 till 26

Number 0 doesnt belong to any sector, ok?

Then every sector has 3 sections (12 sections represent 4 sectors). The first belonging to sector 1 is 32, 15 and 19.
2 more sections for this sector and so on for the remaining 3 sectors.

Then every section has 3 diferent positions of numbers. Every position of number covers 12 numbers.

There are 3 matrices to track:

first matrix record sectors
second matrix records sections
third matrix records positions of numbers

Every matrix is a cube recording 3x3 outcomes.

Now try to follow the patterns produced by the tendency created in vertical and horizontal reading of the matrices.

Last, the solution to select the bet comes from combining 2 2 1 out of the 3 matrices. The result is you have 4 numbers to bet every stake you want to put into play.

This is a winning method but it requires observation and some calculation too.
Im not going to debate over it. You or whoever read it can take it or dismiss it.
This is worth much more than last 1.500 posts ive read here till now.
And yes, this way past spins tell you a lot what is happening in the matrices. Coincidence? Sure.

Cheers,
Carlos.

Spike!

Republicans are a bunch of f**ktards.>>

Well, I guess that covers it. Thanks for being so detailed. What country are you in?

Noble Savage

North Korea. :diablo:

(don't worry I'm kidding)

Spike!

Its becoming obvious that wherever it is, you're embarrassed to say it. I've asked several times and you just ignore it. I'm American and proud of it. Too bad you can't be proud of your country, thats pretty sad..

Carpanta

Quote from: Noble Savage on July 05, 2010, 08:17:53 PM
North Korea. :diablo:

(don't worry I'm kidding)

I believe your national soccer team coach is Capello. Right? ;D

Noble Savage

Quote from: Spike! on July 05, 2010, 08:24:04 PM
Its becoming obvious that wherever it is, you're embarrassed to say it. I've asked several times and you just ignore it. I'm American and proud of it. Too bad you can't be proud of your country, thats pretty sad..

haha! You're amazing.

It's just that you're the kind of self-righteous jerk who would use whatever he knows about a person (even if it's a cool thing like tornado-hunting) to make fun of him in forums.

All you need to know is that I'm from the free-er world. :sarcastic:

Noble Savage

Quote from: Carpanta on July 05, 2010, 08:24:29 PM
I believe your national soccer team coach is Capello. Right? ;D

North Korea's? I don't know. But I know the poor guys are probably locked by the government in some camp right now as a punishment for their weak results in the world cup. I also know that their team's games were not locally broadcasted, unless they win, in which case they would broadcast a recording of the match. (national pride?)

What a sick government. ???

Spike!

All you need to know is that I'm from>>

I've been on the net since 92 and have never ever seen anybody before you who was so embarrassed about his own country that he refused to say what it is. Must be a swell place. I'm from the most hated country on earth, and I could care less if people know I'm from here. You talk about people making fun of you, but its just fine when you use your knowledge of where I'm from to trash Republicans. So its the ol double standard, huh. Picture a chicken clucking..

Noble Savage

Quote from: Spike! on July 05, 2010, 08:53:51 PM
I've been on the net since 92 and have never ever seen anybody before you who was so embarrassed about his own country that he refused to say what it is.

Yeah right. Accept your own assumptions/delusions as truth, as usual. ;D

Quote from: Spike! on July 05, 2010, 08:53:51 PM
use your knowledge of where I'm from to trash Republicans.

I couldn't care less what political party you follow. But the real truth behind the republican party, its motives and doings are pretty clear.

The thing is, you never told me you were republican, I simply knew because you have an aura of self-righteous/political/jerk-like/holier-than-thou attitude all around you.

Talk about an educated guess. ;D

Spike!

The point is, you're ashamed of where you live. Pretty pathetic, but it explains a lot. Maybe you can move to America some day and get some pride.

Noble Savage

Oh get a job... ::)

What's pathetic is you and your lies. Seriously, you need professional help.

[img]nolinks://images.sodahead.com/polls/000929007/delusional_disorder_grandiose_type_xlarge.jpeg[img]

gizmotron

Quote from: Noble Savage on July 05, 2010, 09:15:48 PM
The thing is, you never told me you were republican, I simply knew because you have an aura of self-righteous/political/jerk-like/holier-than-thou attitude all around you.

Yeah, take those freaks that think we got into the Iraq war because of oil. We only have 10% of the Iraq contracts with American companies. The other 90% goes to the rest of the world. We don't own any of the oil fields/wells/ or refineries there. America is just a shabby player in the history of doing things. They don't conquer and exploit for spoils. We go out of our way to turn things back over to those that we have defeated and even help them rebuild. We rebuilt Germany and Japan after we defeated them. We left Bosnia and Grenada.  We will leave Iraq and probably leave Afghanistan too. But look at Great Britain. They took over India and remained as conquerers for more than 90 years. The Romans conquered Europe and kept it for themselves. The Russians took over half of Asia and kept it. We even built the Panama Canal and gave it back to that country. We fought for and protected the Philippians and left agreeable when they asked us to. We are still protecting South Korea. Don't even bring up Israel.

Here is some more for your pipe to smoke. It turns out that many black people in America were heroes of the Revolution and there was no inequality until people like Woodrow Wilson started his propaganda to divide the country. Well we are going to take back the lost patriots of the Revolution. We are going to put an end to the race bating poverty pimps. The only victimized people here are the fools that believe the propaganda and act on it. America has been under the effect of a well orchestrated propaganda attack. But now the truth is coming out. Everyone is going to be very angry. The liberals and progressives have a lot of explaining to do.

Nathan Detroit


loungeplayer

Thank you for sharing this information Carlos.

It is VERY VERY useful.



Best wishes
Benjamin

loungeplayer

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