The 100% Protection System

[Talesman]

THE 100% PROTECTION SYSTEM

The writer assumes the reader of this method of
play has a basic knowledge of the game of Craps.
If you don't, there are many good books in the
Library that can give you the fundamentals of
the game.

At first it may appear this system has some
contradictions, but you'll soon realize its
logic.

To start with, you make a "Don't Pass" bet on
every come out roll. The Don't Pass bet is your
protection. The only real anxiety we have is
on one roll, the first one, the come out roll.

Once a point has been established, we can relax
and make our move. We can now be completely safe.
Our goal is to bet as much money as we safely can
on "Place Bets" and to pocket those winnings.
As long as numbers are being hit, we pocket our
winnings. The Don't Pass bet will protect all of
our Place Bets. Now what about the point? I will
get to that because therein lies the "key" to this
method.

The important question is "what is the shooter's point"?

If the point is 4 or 10, it is our ideal situation,
because the 7 has a better chance of coming before
the 4 or 10 by a ratio of 2 to 1. This means 67%
of the time we will 7 out, and only 33% of the time
will the point be made.

This is good!

If the point Is 5 or 9 then the chance of the 7
coming before the point is 3 to 2, or 60% chance.
Not as good as the 4 or 10, but okay.

The worst scenario is the 6 or 8. Then the ratio is 6
to 5, or only a 55% chance of a 7 before the point.
Since this happens more often, we must bide our time
until the next roll. We don't stand to make much on a
6 or 8, so basically look to break even. Now let's see
how we actually do play....

Before shooter rolls for first time (come out roll),
bet $50 on the "Don't Pass Line". This is required for
this method to work. Remember you only sweat it out once,
and then you can do no wrong. Besides, on average, for
every 7 or 11 shot on the come out roll, you will win
when a Craps (2 or 3) is rolled.

If the point rolled is 4 or 10, hand the dealer another
$27 and instruct him/her to place $27 across excluding
the point. You also give dealer $25 to put on the point
(4 or 10). Now it is virtually foolproof. As long as
numbers are being hit, you pocket the profits, if shooter
throws a 7 you collect $50 and lose $52 on your place
bets, virtually break even. When the point is made, it
pays 9 to 5 or $45, and you lose your "Don't Pass" bet
of $50. Still not bad since 1 or more (most likely) of
your place bets will have been made and collected on
before this happens. If you run into a table where the
shooter's point is 4 or 10 a lot, you will clean up,
believe me!

If the shooter's point is 5 or 9, have dealer put $35
on the point, $6 on the 6 and 8, and $5 on the either
the 5 or 9 (whichever is not the point). Now you are
perfectly protected. When shooter sevens out you collect
$50. versus losing $52 on your place bets, about break
even. When the point is made, you collect $49 and lose
your "Don't Pass" bet, again about even. And while 6, 8,
or 5/9 are being hit, you pocket the profits while keeping
the "same bet".

Now to the worst scenario where the point is 6 or 8.
We try to salvage what we can. It's a 55% chance for the
seven and 45% chance for the 6 or 8. We can't be too daring
here and we'll look for maximum protection.

With $50 on the "Don't Pass Line", put $42 on the point
(6/8), and $6 on the 6 or 8, whichever is not the point.
If shooter sevens out we collect $50 and lose our $48 place
bets, about even. When the point is made we lose our $50
"Don't Pass" bet and win $49 on the point bet, again about
even.

And of course when the 6/8 is hit we collect on that
number for our profits. Now many of you may be apprehensive
about putting $50 on the "Don't Pass Line" fearing the 7
or 11. I have been around too long to know that even if I
lose my "Don't Pass" bet two or more times in a row on the
first roll, I might not lose again for the next hour or so.
And you will also have your share of instant wins when the
shooter craps out on the first roll.

There is another thing going for you on the first roll.
Since most series end with a seven, mathematics is working
for you because it now calls for two sevens in a row which
is less likely.

Review this method again to see the many opportunities it
gives. If you have limited funds, you can still use this
principle with less money. Just remember to always have a
"Don't Pass" bet to protect your investment and hope for
a good day where the points to be made are 4 or 10, or 5
and 9 more often. When it's 6 or 8, just expect to break
even or win a little. You now know one of the best, most
unique, safe and profitable systems. It is highly unlikely
anyone else at the table will be playing it, unless of
course, they took advantage of the same offer you did.

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This is somewhat both a great grind bet and yet perilous one at the same time.  You are either going to love this bet or run away from it.  No middle ground here.

A lot of thought has to go into this as to what is the best way to work it to suit your risk tolerance.

The $50 at-risk during the come-out is the bane.  So, some sort of recovery will be necessary.  Recoveries usually mean a progression.  All-in-all, a Marty is not bad for a DP line bet recovery. A Martingale has it's place and as long as you can afford it, it is a pretty safe bet on the DP most days.  Just make sure you aren't playing at a low-limit table and can fund it.

A progression does not have to be the immediate thing after a loss on the DP.  For instance, let's say after your buy-in you were fortunate and before any 7 or 11 natural showed you got a 2 or 3 or one of each.  Then what you should do is take a white chip (for counting purposes) and slide it to an open area for each 2/3 win you get.  When you lose to a 7 or 11 on the come-out, return that chip to your stack. As long as you are ahead or are in balance, do not enter a progression.

Also, some DP players have a rule to never let a shooter knock them off more than once, some have a rule of twice.  That's a personal thing that comes with experience.  Following either of those two 'rules' can be good or can be folly.  Depends on what the shooters are doing.

Let's now look at the meat and potatoes of this bet.

If the table has been, overall, warm to hot, then play as above subject to my caveat below.  Leave everything in place (especially on those 4/10 bet setups) and let the money come in.  Now if the table has not been so kind then you may wish to consider removing the Place bets as they hit.  When that 7 comes around your profits will be greater. And if the 7 has a habit of coming early you will be happy you took those bets down with the win.  Again, that's something you will have to work out for yourself according to table conditions or individual shooters. Some shooters you may wish to stay up on and on others remove the bets as they hit.  Or, leave them up and after X-rolls start taking them down as they hit.

Another thing to be aware of is if the bet goes to the 5 or 9 and the shooter has a history of making that number then you may wish to consider once you get a win on any other Place bet to take a red chip from the win and tell the dealer to BUY that number for $40. If the shooter makes the point the buy bet will pay true odds of 3:2 and the payout will be $60 less $2 vig leaving you with $58 or an $8 win rather than being down a $1 as with the called-for Place bet.

The bet on the #4 or #10. Author has you Placing it for $25. WRONG!!!  BUY it for $25.  Make any bet $20 and over on the 4/10 a BUY bet always.  That is assuming the vig is only charged on a win. Do the math.  Place bet pays 9:5 and your return is $45.  Buying it pays 2:1 (true odds) which pays $50 less $1 for the vig so your return is $49.  $4 more!!!

A word on Buy bets. The general rule is if a casino charges the vig up-front be it on Lay or Buy bets they return that vig if the bet has not been decided and you remove it (take it down). ALWAYS check as to commissions and policy before making the bet. If your casino charges the vig up front on a Buy bet consider playing elsewhere as that is pure piracy and that casino should be avoided at all costs. It is customary to collect the vig up-front on a Lay bet - pretty universal across the globe.

This is a good bet to experiment with.  Set a reasonable win goal and it probably will make you a few dollars.  Your comp rating will be as a $50+ bettor.  That is always a plus.

Get rich and famous.

         

[Talesman]

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