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About randomness

Started by Herb, October 01, 2008, 02:00:54 AM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.


Shorty


Herb

Mr. Chips,


I know you want to believe that changing the red/black to P, M, or Z will change things and create a dueness factor, but it won't. 

The article is what it is.  You will take from it what you will.  I posted it because I found it interesting. 

The Monty Hall problem still drives me nuts to this day. :) 

-Herb







Herb

Mr. Chips,

You are wrong.  So promptly return all of the money that you have won to the casino by later this afternoon, so that we can avoid this contradiction. :)

(Just joking)


The aritcle is what it is.

For the record, I'm a go with the trend person.

-Herb

TwoCatSam

In mind I took the "Monty Hall Paradox"--as I've heard it called--a step further.  I'm sure millions have done the same thing, so I'm not trying to create the illusion of brilliance.

Say your doors were large boxes.  Monty opens a box and there is no goat.  Now the crew comes in and totally removes that box from the stage.  A second contestant is waiting in a sound-proof room and is brought in.

Each contestant is told to pick a box.  Since the removal of the box has no bearing on the first contestant and his 2/3 chance of winning, nothing changes for him.  However, our new contestant does have a 50/50 chance of winning.  Two guesses; two different odds of winning.

All because of what the first contestant knew.  Seems very strange to me.

Sam

Kon-Fu-Sed

Great Sam!
[smiley=thumbsup.gif]

The key-word - as you correctly say - is information.
The first one's got some while the second has none.


/KFS

RoulettePlayer


bjb007

No matter how many times the link's posted
I'm not going to read it

Got enough problem already.

Spike

If that jerk Monty would just show us which door has the car, we would never have to think about this again. It hurts my head.[smiley=3D-Smil-gros/36_12_11.gif] [smiley=3D-Smil-gros/36_12_13.gif] [smiley=3D-Smil-gros/36_2_63.gif]

Spike

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