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If you could bet on a single number for 100 spins?

Started by gingermolloy, April 01, 2009, 11:30:35 AM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

headsethero

Just some silly thoughts passing my mind when reading this thread.   
I have played with the idea of flatbetting 1 number and possibly using progression when you pass the odds ratio with the flatbet.   

These idea's however have passed my mind.   

**Point 1 - Occurances
In the though of the wheel having no memory.   
In how far can we determine or say if a sequence of numbers, resulting from wheel spins can have occurances separate from the fact that the wheel can't have a memory.   

Let's say, even though the next outcome can't be influenced by previous spun numbers.   
We can say that in time it will definitely happen, that repeating numbers will occur in the spun results.   
It'll be like a acknowledge trend that will reoccur in the statistics.   

Even though I try to explain this event of a repeating number from the perspective of a statistical occurance.   

One can of course also say from another perspective that a number repeats because it was 'Hot'.   

**Point 2 - Bad Luck
Completely separate from my first point.   
Things like murphy's law amuse me a lot.   
Let's say you base a betting system on cold numbers.   
Just to find out that it keeps sleeping longer than you expected or had the bankrol to cover.   
If this should happen to you, you can either reason it's was an abnormal statistic occurance.   
Or a even simpler reasoning,.   .    Bad Luck.   
This betting example can be referred to as betting on a 'Cold' number.   

**Point 3 - Balancing the average.   
Should you choose a cold number to flatbet on, the thing you'd most like to avoid is probably a numer that keeps sleeping longer than intended.    But you won't know till it actually happens.    Therefor you could use two strategies or theories on which you select a number, to balance out the chance of betting on a single sleeping number that won't wake up.    So you pick your first number, and second number.    And start flatbetting both with one units till you've gone through 35 units of your bankroll.    From here you have the choice to keep flatbetting, progress your bet on one number only, or progress your bet on both numbers.   

**So putting it all together:
Respecting the fact that a wheel can not have a memory I'm not gonna chose my single number based on 'Hot' or 'Cold'.    Rather, I will choose to bet on the last spun number, simply because I believe a repeating number is a statistical occurance that will happen.    Also respecting the Wheel has no memory, I can also reason that I can actually pick any number on the wheel and start flatbetting that one until I win.    Because that single number will have just as good a chance to be spun as any next number.   

So I keep flatbetting one number that a randomly picked, and stick to that number till I win.    And also each time flatbet on the last number that appeared, to up the average of getting a hit out of one of both numbers played.    I would have to flatbet both numbers till the amount off units lost is the same as the odds for the win (35) and will then have to double the bet for both numbers played.   

What would you guys think is the chance in this working?

I know some of you might think why such a long story is needed to explain the betting on two numbers.   
But sometimes I just like to approach roulette in a philosophical way instead of only mathematical.   
I hope it at least entertained some of you, in that respect.   

VLSroulette

Hello  headsethero, welcome to the forum.

Which approach to take is the neverending debate! Math gurus will tell it is the same whichever way you choose as it has no memory, but players will always sustain there is a rithm to the numbers :)

I suggest you visit Homeito's website nolinks://homeito.comlu.com/ to get his views (Backed by statistics).

Regards and enjoy your stay at our place.

Victor


Mr J

The thing about Homeito I dont understand (maybe someone can help me with this), what is his method of choice, if anything? Not making waves, just curious.  Ken

VLSroulette

Quote from: Mr J on January 28, 2010, 03:14:45 PM
what is his method of choice, if anything?

He sure doesn't use the criteria debunked at his website! (He said those lost him money).

Only him knows for sure.

bella

I got it     you cant bet a certain  # you have to bet a certain occurance  TWO NUMBERS IN A ROW check it out it happens

very offen ..... I came up with a 75 step progression that 1 win you win $100.00 or more.... so all I need is 1 win and I go

home  .... I also wait till 30 spins with no TWO IN A ROW ,  when you wail up you already have 20 spin history so I

wait for another 10 or 15 spins and then I start... if 3 comes out I bet 3 if 00 comes out last I bet 00 and so on.....

bella

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