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Home Play Method for MLB

Started by Natural9, April 07, 2009, 11:51:54 AM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

xman1970

Nope, no harm in tweaking away...... ;)


When I get some time I will go through last season results with the W4 or L4 theory & see what the W/L would of been...... 8)

Natural9

Quote from: xman1970 on April 28, 2009, 03:11:29 AM
Nope, no harm in tweaking away...... ;)


When I get some time I will go through last season results with the W4 or L4 theory & see what the W/L would of been...... 8)

Well the Red Sox have won something like 10 on end now

Also with this Good Dog Bad Favourite theory  one reason why a lot of teams go out as underdogs is that they are playing away from home  but I still don't think home ground advantage is as crucial in Baseball ( tho It still does  play a part in a teams performance)as it is in a lot of other sports any thoughts on that one

Regards Rodney

xman1970

Quote from: Natural9 on April 28, 2009, 05:45:13 AM
Well the Red Sox have won somethnig like 10 on end  now

Yep & three wins V the Yankees so the odds would of been good  :)

think Seattle & Baltimore both won 6 on the bounce (probably good odds) & the nats lost 7 or 8 on the bounce (not good odds but a win is a win)

Like i said I will go through LAST season when I get sometime..... :thumbsup:

roules

Hey N9,
Thought I'd try this with the NRL and it's going well so far (3 weeks lol). Thanks for the idea, it's opened up a few new doors now too having seen the various other bets available.

Natural9

Quote from: roules on April 28, 2009, 07:21:21 AM
Hey N9,
Thought I'd try this with the NRL and it's going well so far (3 weeks lol). Thanks for the idea, it's opened up a few new doors now too having seen the various other bets available.

Cool Roules you must tell me how you doing it with the NRL and I wonder if the same can be applied to the super 14 rugby

Regards Rodney

Natural9

Well the home play keeps chugging along SF won for us after a close one is one a the few not cover the RL  as well

has completeed all runs and up about 14 -15 units

We on SF again for tomorrow Tuesday ML + 151

Now I going look few tweaks on the GDBF theory

GD picks                                BF Picks

Flo  +119(A) v NYM              Min (H)  +106
SD +135 (A) v Col                Bos (A) +100
                                        Flo  (A) +119

Lines will most likely move in favour

Natural9

Quote from: xman1970 on April 28, 2009, 03:11:29 AM
Nope, no harm in tweaking away...... ;)


When I get some time I will go through last season results with the W4 or L4 theory & see what the W/L would of been...... 8)

There are three teams that fit that scenario

Boston who have won 11 on end

Phil who have won  4 on end

Florida who are and 7 losses

Yanks  @ 4 losses

so on the 4 scenario plays would be Detroit V Yankees

       and the                                          Phillies


xman1970

Quote from: Natural9 on April 28, 2009, 07:07:04 PM
There are three teams that fit that scenario

Boston who have won 11 on end

Phil who have won  4 on end

Florida who are and 7 losses

Yanks  @ 4 losses

so on the 4 scenario plays would be Detroit V Yankees

       and the                                          Phillies



Yep Rodney  ;)

I would try R.Sox & Phillies to win

&

Florida & Yankees to lose


pls understand I'm not saying this works, but streaks of 4W or 4L are not uncommon......

Natural9

Yesterday we went 4 from 5 in the GDBF

Flat betting we down bout 5 units still the home dog won so maybe keep an eye on the home team in this method more

The Home play SF lost they were well in it right to the end

Tomorrow we Take SF again  as the home play play RL -1.5 +164

Ok the GDBF  picks

GD                             BF

Pit (A) +185            Stl (A)-102
Flo (A) +164            Flo (A)+164
SD (A) +140            Min (H)+121

roules

Hey Rodney,
Mate Im just following what you suggested, backing the home team on the monday night games. Never thought the panthers would do the titans the other night, nor would I have thought the tigers would get up on the storm (16-6!) the week before so, so far so good.
The other interesting (to me) bets are the team totals - there's some pretty good odds there that I've been betting on on the weekend/fri night games. FYI - the average team totals for the year is about 40 per game.

Roules

Natural9

Quote from: roules on April 29, 2009, 06:41:52 PM
Hey Rodney,
Mate Im just following what you suggested, backing the home team on the monday night games. Never thought the panthers would do the titans the other night, nor would I have thought the tigers would get up on the storm (16-6!) the week before so, so far so good.
The other interesting (to me) bets are the team totals - there's some pretty good odds there that I've been betting on on the weekend/fri night games. FYI - the average team totals for the year is about 40 per game.

Roules

Yeh for reasson the home team win very often on the monday night NRL game I think at quite good odds to

We see what happens for this coming monday

Keep it up Roules

Regards Rodney

Natural9

Quote from: Natural9 on April 29, 2009, 11:52:50 AM
Yesterday we went 4 from 5 in the GDBF

Flat betting we down bout 5 units still the home dog won so maybe keep an eye on the home team in this method more

The Home play SF lost they were well in it right to the end

Tomorrow we Take SF again  as the home play play RL -1.5 +164

Ok the GDBF  picks

GD                             BF

Pit (A) +185            Stl (A)-102
Flo (A) +164            Flo (A)+164
SD (A) +140            Min (H)+121

We went 4-2 in the GDBF for net loss  of 1-5 units it is recovering well  from a terrible start

SF won again for us and covered easily

Play The Dodgers RL -1.5 +145 from  home play

GDBF selections

GD

Flo (A)-101
SD (A) +135 clashes with my home play not good  :-\

There maybe a play on Boston -105 they same odds at the present whichwould be a BF selection we play it as it give us a selection in this catergory

Natural9

Went !-2 in the GDBF yesaterday and the home play won and covered easily

Todays picks Home play SF -109

GDBF

GD                      BF
Flo +246            Hou +150
Sea +101           NYM +102     

Natural9

Went 2-2 in the GDBF methods yesterday

Home play won

Home play for today 5/2

LAD RL -1.5 125

GDBF plays

GD                                            BF
CWS (A) +112                       NYM(A) +105
Flo   (A) +137                       MIL  (H) +114   
                                          HOU (A)+119
                 

Natural9

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