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WINNING PARLAYS

Started by admin, April 23, 2008, 04:47:32 AM

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Transcription:

We all heard of the Martingale system, where you
double your bet every time you lose until you finally
win, in order to make 1 unit profit on any even money
bet. This method would work if you had unlimited
bankroll and if the table had no maximum betting
limits. But we all know that in reality this is
not the case.

Imagine you start betting with 1 unit and you
encounter a streak of 9 consecutive losses. Your
bets would be 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256. You
would have placed a total of 511 units on the table
and still haven't won yet. Your next bet requires
you to wager 512 units, where if you win you will
make only 1 unit profit and if you lose, your loss
will be a devastating 1023 units.

At this stage you would probably give up, as you
either have exhausted your bankroll and/or the table
will not allow you to bet 1024 units. It would also
be totally unreasonable to risk 2048 units for 1
lousy unit profit. And the chances of winning are
slightly less than 50% at every bet. The fact that
Red or Black didn't show up for 10 times does not
mean that it's due to show up on the 11th time,
because the probability of its showing up on the
next bet is exactly the same as the previous bet:
about 50%.

We all see some streaks of Reds or Blacks (in
Roulette), Pass-Line bets or Don't Pass-Line bets
(in Craps), Player or Banker (Baccarat), where
the same outcome repeats sometimes over 2, 3, 4
and even a bit more rarely 7, 8, 9 times. The
longest streak of Red showing up consecutively
recorded in history was 32 times in a row in a
casino in Brazil. Imagine the losses of whoever
was using Martingale, even for those who have
waited for Black not to come up for 10 times
before they started betting on it.

I have personally seen Black showing up 16 times in
row. And I see either Black or Red showing up 6, 7
times consecutively much more often. This is very
obvious if you observe Roulette scoreboards.

Winning Parlays will take advantage of those occurrences.
Martingale seems to be a pretty bad strategy when this
happens. It's also nerve wracking and dangerous for
your blood pressure. We will use exactly the opposite
of the Martingale approach. With Martingale you make
a profit of only 1 unit profit at a time with the risk
of escalating losses. With Winning Parlays you will
risk only 1 unit at a time with escalating winnings.
You can apply the concept of reverse strategies every
time you see that something is not working too well
for you, and for every mediocre strategy there is
usually a reverse one, which will work much better.

This system is appropriate for any even-money betting.
Red, Black, Even, Odd, High, Low at Roulette; Pass,
Don't Pass line bets at Craps; or Banker, Player
at Baccarat.

Your unit value can be as low as the table minimum or
any value you feel comfortable with depending on your
budget. A bankroll of 50 units should be sufficient
to play and win with this system.

You must have guessed already, if you are going to bet
only 1 unit and want your winnings to escalate to 2,
4, 8, 16, 32, 64, etc, (the opposite of the losses
generated by the Martingale system), you must use
some kind of parlay. That means leaving your winnings
on the table so they can multiply with repeating
wins. The question then becomes how do you decide
where to bet on and how long do you leave your profits
on the table? At what stage do you cash them?

Winning Parlays will make all those decisions for you.
Your bets will be automatically placed on the winning
even-money decisions. If, for instance, Red happened
to be repeating for more than say 4, 5, 6 times (and
more), etc., that's where you will find yourself betting.
If you happen to play simultaneously on Red-Black,
Even-Odd, High-Low areas, again your bets will be
placed on the repeating ones when you play this system.
In this case you will then need 3 units per bet of course,
one unit for Red or Black, one unit for Even or Odd,
and one unit for Low or High. We will see later on how
we can deploy this system to multiple areas simultaneously.

Before I fully explain the system, let's talk first on
its concepts. Suppose you come to a Roulette table and
you place a $10 chip on Red. If Red comes and you win,
say instead of collecting your $20, you leave the $20
on the table and repeat your bet on Red. Say, Red comes
up again. Now you have $40 on the table. You re-bet the
$40 and Red repeats once more. Now you have $80 on the
table. It's a tough decision, should you remove your
$80 worth of chips or leave them on Red? Say, you leave
them on the table. Red comes up again. Now you have $160.
You tell yourself, enough. You grab your $160 and you
don't bet this time. You see Red comes up again. You're
a bit upset as you could have gotten $320, instead of
$160. On the other hand, you're happy, since you
converted a $10 chip into $160 profiting $150 on this
run. What you have done was you parlayed your $10 four
times before you collected your winnings.

A similar scenario could have been the following. You
bet a $10 chip on Red. Red comes, you leave $20 on the
table. Red comes again, you leave $40 on the table.
Now Black appears and you lose it all. This was a run
of 3 bets before you lost $40, but you have lost only
$10 of the money you came to the table with. Still,
you're upset because you could have cashed $40, but
you didn't.

If you observe hundreds of spins, you will see that
Red or Black will repeat either twice, or 3 times, or
4, 5, 6, 7, etc. over the long run. Of course, the
lower number repetitions will occur more frequently.
That means, Red, for instance, will repeat 3 times
much more often than Red repeating say 6 or 7 times.
If you decide not to cash your winnings until Red
repeats 6 times, it will happen much less often, but
when it does you will cash much more money. So, it
becomes a matter of deciding how many times you hope
Red will repeat before you grab your winnings. This
is a decision you will have to make up front before
you start using the system. If you make up your mind
before hand, you will avoid much emotional turmoil
during the session.

Once you understand how the system works I will show
you simulations of what would have happened if you
had cashed your winnings after having waited for 3,
4, 5, 6, 7 times. Hopefully that will help you in
deciding after how many same decision repeats to
collect your winnings.

We also have another question in mind. What do you bet
on? Red or Black? Player or Banker? Pass or Don't Pass?
As I promised, this will be determined by the system
automatically. You will see.

Let's now come to the essence of the system. The
first thing you need to do is to decide on the
number of times you will wait in the parlay before
you grab your winnings. Once that decision is made,
stick to it! Just for the sake of learning the system,
let's say you will wait 4 times. That means you will
not cash, until you can collect 16 units. (15 units
profit and your 1-unit initial bet.)

You now come to the Roulette table and see that the
last decision was Black. You will place your 1-unit
chip on the same color, on Black. If Black repeats
you win, but you don't cash your 2 units, you leave
them on the table without adding more chips. If Red
comes up, you lose your chip. If you lose your chip,
you bet 1 chip on the same color that just came: on
Red. Now, if Red comes again, you leave your 2 chips
on the table to multiply.

As you can see, you are following the color, which is
repeating. If, in the above sequence, either Red or
Black would repeat more than once, that's where you
would actually find yourself betting. The fifth
consecutive time either Red or Black shows up you
grab your 16 chips and not bet until the color changes.  
Why fifth and not fourth? Because the first appearance
is the bet that makes you decide what to bet on, and
the subsequent consecutive appearances are the
repetitions. You may see Red or Black repeating even
more than 5 times, but as your decision was set up
front to cash after 4 winnings (or 5 repeats), this
is where you stand and you don't bet your chip until
Red turns to Black or vice versa.

A zero or double zero showing up in the middle of the
run will of course terminate that run, making you lose
your chip. You won't bet until the next color, Red or
Black shows up, which will most likely be after the very
next spin, unless multiple zeros happen to come up one
after another. In which case you will bet your chip on
the color that shows up after the zero or zeros.

Let us now observe a simulation or 200 spins in Table
1 below, where we set up front to wait for 4 consecutive
wins, or 5 repetitions of the same color, before we collect
our winnings. Our unit chip value is $10.

Table 1
Seq. #  N_spun  R/B  Bet on B/R  W/L  Win Streak  Bet     Cash    Net
1       28      B    No bet
2       23      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10    -$10
3       36      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10    -$20
4        0      G        R       L       0       $0       $0     -$20
5        1      R   No bet       0               $0       $0     -$20
6       26      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10    -$30
7       31      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10    -$40
8       15      B        B       W       2       $0       $0     -$40
9       11      B        B       W       3       $0       $0     -$40
10      32      R        B       L       0       $0       $0     -$40
11       9      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10    -$50
12      30      R        R       W       2       $0       $0     -$50
13      19      R        R       W       3       $0       $0     -$50
14      30      R        R       W       4       $0       $160    $110
15      12      R   No bet               5       $0       $0      $110
16       3      R   No bet               6       $0       $0      $110
17       9      R   No bet               7       $0       $0      $110
18       2      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $110
19      26      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $100
20      20      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $100
21      26      B        B       W       3       $0       $0      $100
22      31      B        B       W       4       $0       $160    $260
23      26      B   No bet               5       $0       $0      $260
24      18      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $260
25      15      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $250
26       8      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $240
27      15      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $240
28       1      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $240
29      36      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $230
30      30      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $230
31      26      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $230
32      18      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $220
33      22      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $210
34       1      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $200
35      28      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $190
36      33      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $180
37      00      G        B       L       0       $0       $0      $180
38      14      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $180
39      19      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $170
40       7      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $170
41       7      R        R       W       3       $0       $0      $170
42      30      R        R       W       4       $0       $160    $330
43       5      R   No bet               5       $0       $0      $330
44        5      R   No bet               6       $0       $0      $330
45       17      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $330
46       22      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $320
47        2      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $320
48       32      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $320
49       27      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $310
50        7      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $310
51       27      R        R       W       3       $0       $0      $310
52       26      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $310
53       12      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $300
54        1      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $290
55        0      G        R       L       0       $0       $0      $290
56       22      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $290
57        0      G        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $280
58        7      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $280
59        6      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $270
60        7      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $260
61       24      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $250
62       19      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $240
63       34      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $230
64        0      G        R       L       0       $0       $0      $230
65        8      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $230
66       31      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $220
67        1      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $220
68       20      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $210
69       21      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $200
70       23      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $190
71        0      G        R       L       0       $0       $0      $190
72       33      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $190
73       11      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $180
74       13      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $180
75       28      B        B       W       3       $0       $0      $180
76        4      B        B       W       4       $0       $160    $340
77        7      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $340
78       15      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $330
79       36      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $320
80       32      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $310
81       24      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $310
82      14      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $300
83      15      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $290
84      33      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $280
85      18      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $280
86      20      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $270
87      27      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $260
88      18      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $250
89      23      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $250
90      24      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $250
91       3      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $240
92       4      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $230
93      13      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $220
94       6      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $220
95      12      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $220
96      23      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $210
97       8      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $210
98      17      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $200
99       9      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $200
100        2      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $190
101       11      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $180
102       20      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $180
103        4      B        B       W       3       $0       $0      $180
104        8      B        B       W       4       $0       $160    $340
105       27      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $340
106        5      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $330
107       23      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $330
108       18      R        R       W       3       $0       $0      $330
109       18      R        R       W       4       $0       $160    $490
110       11      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $490
111       26      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $480
112       16      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $480
113      14      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $470
114     25      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $470
115      34      R        R       W       3       $0       $0      $470
116      29      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $470
117      24      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $460
118      32      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $460
119      15      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $450
120      35      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $440
121      31      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $440
122       5      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $440
123      22      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $430
124      32      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $420
125      00      G        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $410
126      22      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $410
127       8      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $400
128      30      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $400
129      19      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $390
130      23      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $390
131      25      R        R       W       3       $0       $0      $390
132       8      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $390
133      20      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $380
134      15      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $380
135      13      B        B       W       3       $0       $0      $380
136      29      B        B       W       4       $0       $160    $540
137      13      B   No bet               5       $0       $0      $540
138       1      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $540
139       13     B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $530
140       7      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $520
141      00      G        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $510
142      10      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $510
143       7      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $500
144       0      G        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $490
145      00      G   No bet               0       $0       $0      $490
146      34      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $490
147      31      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $480
148      34      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $470
149       0      G        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $460
150      31      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $460
151      13      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $450
152      33      B        B       W       2       $0       $0      $450
153       6      B        B       W       3       $0       $0      $450
154      10      B        B       W       4       $0       $160    $610
155      27      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $610
156      27      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $600
157      00      G        R       L       0       $0       $0      $600
158       4      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $600
159        3      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $590
160       33      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $580
161       18      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $570
162        2      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $560
163       17      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $550
164       34      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $550
165       00      G        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $540
166       00      G   No bet               0       $0       $0      $540
167       27      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $540
168       24      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $530
169       18      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $520
170       31      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $510
171       31      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $500
172       00      G        B       L       0       $0       $0      $500
173       35      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $500
174       11      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $490
175       27      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $490
176       25      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $480
177       15      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $480
178       33      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $470
179        3      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $470
180       28      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $460
181       19      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $450
182       23      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $440
183       25      R        R       W       2       $0       $0      $440
184        1      R        R       W       3       $0       $0      $440
185       35      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $440
186       10      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $430
187       21      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $430
188       20      B        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $420
189       28      B        B       W       1       $10     -$10     $410
190       27      R        B       L       0       $0       $0      $410
191        7      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $400
192       00      G        R       L       0       $0       $0      $400
193       11      B   No bet               0       $0       $0      $400
194        3      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $390
195        3      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $380
196       13      B        R       L       0       $0       $0      $380
197       30      R        B       L       0       $10     -$10     $370
198       00      G        R       L       0       $10     -$10     $360
199        9      R   No bet               0       $0       $0      $360
200        9      R        R       W       1       $10     -$10     $350

Let's look at Table 1 and see how the system works.

We set the number to take your winnings from the table to 4.
That means if either Black or Red repeats 5 times, your Winning
Streak number will reach 4, where you remove your winnings.
Otherwise, you leave them on the table. This term of "leaving on
the table" refers of course to land casinos. On on-line casinos,
you would just be betting your winnings again on the same color
without adding any additional units on top of your initial chip.
That means if your color wins, you take your chips and the profit
and bet on the same color the amount that you won, until you
accumulate 16 chips. Then you reduce back to one chip again,
based on the rules of the system.

We're looking at the above Table 1, and let's assume that we
are playing in a real casino, for now.

You come to the Roulette table, and you see in sequence 1 that
the last decision was number 28, Black. So you place one $10
chip on Black as indicated in sequence 2 with "B" under column
Bet Black or Red. Number 23 shows up, which is a Red and you
lose your chip. Your net profit is -$10 as indicated in
column Net.

Since you lost your chip, it can't multiply, so you need to place
a new $10 chip on the last color that showed up, that is on Red,
as indicated by "R" in sequence 3.

Number 36 appears, which is a Red, you win, but you don't take
your chips. That's why the Cash column shows a -$10 despite the
fact that you won that bet. You leave your 2 chips on the table
on Red again.

The ball lands on zero in sequence 4, as indicated by "G" (for
Green). That interrupts and terminates your winning sequence.
Your two chips are gone and your net profit is at -$20.

Since a zero came, you don't place any chips on your next bet
in sequence 5. You wait until a color is established. Number
1, Red comes up. So you bet 1 chip on Red in sequence 6. Number
26, Black comes up. You lose your chip. Your net is down to -$30.

Since you lost your chip and Black came, you bet 1 chip on Black
in sequence 7.  Your net is presently -$40. Number 31, Black
comes up, you win and you leave your two $10 chips on the table.

In sequence 8, Black comes again. You win and you leave your 4
chips on the table on Black.

In sequence 9, Black repeats again. You win and you leave your
8 chips on the table. Remember you don't touch your chips until
they become 16.  In sequence 10, Red is rolled. You lose your 8
chips that accumulated so far. But you haven't really lost more
than the one $10 chip that started the escalation in sequence 7,
you haven't placed any additional chips since. So, those were 4
sequences in the run, but only 1 chip lost. It's painful to see
$80 disappearing in front of your eyes, but those are the rules.
Patience will pay off.

Let us assume you haven't broken the rules and that you are
willing to go on playing as you determined at the start, you
will wait for 4 consecutive wins. Since you lost in sequence
10 and Red showed up, now you place a $10 chip on Red in
sequence 11. Your net profit shows -$50. Number 9, Red comes
up. You win. You leave your 2 chips on the table.

In sequence 12, Red shows up again. You win. You leave your
4 chips on the table.

In sequence 13, it's Red again. You win. You leave your 8 chips
on the table. In sequence 14, what you've been hoping for happens.
Red repeats for the 5th time. You have won four times in a row.
You have 16 X $10 chips in front of you and you grab them. Your
net profit goes from -$50 to +$110. Patience did pay off. It was
going to happen sooner or later. It is not unusual for 5
consecutive same-decisions to happen.

In our simulation, Red comes up 8 times in a row between sequences
10 to 17.  That is something interesting to note. Since you have
set your winning grab time to 4 and you have already grabbed your
16 chips, you don't place any until Red is replaced by Black.
This is where you have mixed feelings again. Red has shown up 8
times. You say to yourself, you could have cashed $1280 on a run of
7 consecutive Reds, instead of $160, but you decided at the outset
you were going to take your money after a run of 4 wins. Realize
that setting this number to 7 will make you lose all the opportunities
of grabbing your winnings at the 4th, 5th, 6th time, which will
occur more often than 8 repeats or 7 consecutive wins.

There is a tradeoff we need to accept: wait longer to win more,
but lose a few units in the meantime by the time the 7th winnings
happens, or grab your winnings more frequently at smaller profits.
Once you see all the upcoming simulations, you will be able to
make the decision that's right for you.  If we go on observing Table
1, we grab our $160 at sequence 14 and since we were betting on Red,
we don't bet until Black comes up. And this happens in sequence 18.

So, in sequence 19, we place 1 $10 chip again on Black. This
time Black comes up 5 times in a row and we keep betting on Black
as long as it doesn't change to Red. We cash another $160 or 16 X $10
chips in sequence 22.

Black shows up one more time, but we have placed no bets in
sequence 23, as Black has not been replaced by Red yet.

In sequence 24, Red is rolled. Therefore we place one chip on Red
in sequence 25.

You can follow the rest of the table and observe the way we bet.
You always place one chip on the previous color, one spin after
the color changes. If the color repeats, you leave your chips
on the table, until you win 4 times in a row. If the color changes,
you place a chip on the new color. If a zero comes up, you don't
make a bet, you wait for the next color to come up. Then you
place one chip on that color. And so on.

As you can see, whichever color is the repeating one, you end
up betting on that one, based on the rules of the system. That
way you don't miss any color, should it repeat more than once.

The peak profit reached at Table 1 was 61 units of $610 and it
has occurred at sequence 154. Different runs of this simulation
will produce different results with different peaks. You should
always make sure to quit at a point when you are well ahead.
One good strategy is to quit once the profit is reduced to half
of your highest total. So in Table 1, since the peak profit was
at $610, it's recommended that you quit while you are still
ahead by half of this amount, +$305. In Table 1 that doesn't
happen until sequence 200, but it has a tendency to go towards
that direction.

Or, another strategy is to quit if you are $100 below that peak,
at about $510, which happens at sequence 170.

If you can manage it, you can play this method simultaneously on
three different areas: on Black/Red and on Even/Odd and on High/Low,
using the exact same system as above. If you are betting on
Even/Odd for instance, then you place one chip on Even if the
previous number was Even. If you are betting on High/Low at the
same time, you place one chip on Low if the previous number was
18 or lower. Then follow exactly the same pattern as for Red/Black
discussed above. When you play in 3 different areas simultaneously,
you are of course betting three $10 chips at the start, then you
either bet or don't bet depending on whether Even/Odd or High/Low
repeats or not. So you don't always have 3 chips on the table. It
will depend on the various repetition patterns of Red/Black, Even/Odd
and High/Low.

As stated before, this system can be used for Baccarat and Craps.
In Baccarat you would place your bet on Player for instance, and
if you win you would place your bet plus your winnings on Player
until Player wins 4 times in a row. When Banker wins, you would
switch to Banker.

Likewise in Craps; you place a bet on the Pass Line for instance.
And if you win, you would place your bet plus your winnings on the
Pass Line again until Pass repeats 4 times. If Pass doesn't repeat,
you will switch to Don't Pass and follow the same pattern.

Now, let's observe some simulations where we follow the same rules,
but values for repeat times have been set differently. Table 2 below
is set for 3, that is, you collect your winnings when a color repeated
4 times, meaning you have won 3 times in a row.

Table 2

Sequence# Number Red/Black Bet Black or Red Win/Lose Win Streak  Bet  Cash  Net
1           3       R
2          25       R                R         W           1     $10  -$10 -$10
3           1       R                R         W           2     $0    $0  -$10
4          11       B                R         L           0     $0    $0  -$10
5          22       B                B         W           1     $10  -$10 -$20
6          29       B                B         W           2     $0    $0  -$20
7          10       B                B         W           3     $0    $80  $60
8          26       B           No bet                     4     $0    $0   $60
9          28       B           No bet                     5     $0    $0   $60
10         26       B           No bet                     6     $0    $0   $60
11         19       R           No bet                     0     $0    $0   $60
12         25       R                R         W           1     $10  -$10  $50
13         20       B                R         L           0     $0    $0   $50
14         25       R                B         L           0     $10  -$10  $40
15         21       R                R         W           1     $10  -$10  $30
16         16       R                R         W           2     $0    $0   $30
17         12       R                R         W           3     $0    $80  $110
18         32       R           No bet                     4     $0    $0   $110
19          7       R           No bet                     5     $0    $0   $110
20         10       B           No bet                     0     $0    $0   $110
21         23       R                B         L           0     $10  -$10  $100
22         11       B                R         L           0     $10  -$10  $90
23          8       B                B         W           1     $10  -$10  $80
24          8       B                B         W           2     $0    $0   $80
25          5       R                B         L           0     $0    $0   $80
26         35       B                R         L           0     $10  -$10  $70
27          3       R                B         L           0     $10  -$10  $60
28         35       B                R         L           0     $10  -$10  $50
29          3       R                B         L           0     $10  -$10  $40
30         00       G                R         L           0     $10  -$10  $30
31         28       B           No bet                     0     $0    $0   $30
32         18       R                B         L           0     $10  -$10  $20
33         36       R                R         W           1     $10  -$10  $1

takeshiro

Thanks for this post. Very well explained.
Did you play this system?

MattyMattz

Hey Victor,
great post! :thumbsup:

Matt

Joker

Hey there Mr. Victor.. how are you doing?

man you must have put lots of effort for you...

great job..

yes that's the only way I can see we can win the money with less bankroll... I have hurted myself big time with martingale betting system... it is no no system...you get scarier and scarier as bets go higher and you are actually trying to win 1 unit...

there is a one guy did just like you play.. except he waited 7 red or black show up and started to bet 5 times until he wins...
and guess what ? he started with $1000 units... one day Red came out 13 times...so
1000, win 2000, win 4000 win, 8000, 16000, win.. so he won 32000.. well, of cource he was at vegas.. and guess playing big table.. and i think he was playing baccarat.... so this can happen...but highest money he can lose is only $1000... i mean compare to losing $32000... man.. just can't imagine thinking about it.... $1000 is a lot better than $32000...

let me get to my personal experience..i had this system... and started betting with $25.. i was winning for a month....about $1000 ahead...and one day i lost $1500..... oh boy.....

My kind of favorite is wait till 7 streak and start betting.. maybe big unit maybe $100 and 5 times...

or you can wait till 4 streak and you can stop at 7.... so you will win 7 units...

But my favorite is playing Red/Black as a lottery.. maybe play one or two hand big...

For instance... let's say you bet $100... on Red or Black.. I wait till win 4 times.. which gives me.. $1500...
I play just once a month...if $1500 shows up then .. you are up $300 no matter what... for that year....

you got 12 times to try... even you lose 12 times.. just lose $1200 a year.. not too bad...

but from my experience.. it is best to follow the streak 4 or 7 is good ......

Joker

admin

Hey mates, this comes from the "Winning Parlays" ebook, so no credit other than the re-post.

And regarding Takeshiro's question: I haven't devoted time to testing this extensively, hence I haven't put real money on it (as everybody knows, one should test first to the point of being confident enough to bet on it). This post was driven to fulfill a request from yourself here :):
nolinks://vlsroulette.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1208737754/4#4 :thumbsup:

I'm glad it has been appreciated [smiley=im/yb667.gif]

admin

QuoteHey there Mr. Victor.. how are you doing?

I'm doing fine, thank you mate...

Quoteman you must have put lots of effort for you...

Well, not really. I went into "Sharing spree", and did plenty of money management posts a little rushed late at night, I did miss to place the transcription header in several, inluding this. I edited and made sure they all have the "Transcription:" header on it at the beginning of the message now :)

Credit for the efforts go to the original author of the ebook  :thumbsup:

Best regards.

cvictorg

In Atlanic Cityb one day I saw it switch from red to black 13 times in a row - RBRBRBRBRBRBR until it broke - should you wait until you get 2 in a row?

mystidark

The idea seems interesting, but a proper stop-loss seems essential (in case u hit a choppy pattern like cvictorg indicated) and if anybody has done some studies on this it would prove to be very interesting to see...maybe cps10 or bloom  ::)

Mystidark

Portsa

I had a go at this system yesterday & I'd like to post the results, but a jpg doesn't look good - how can I add an excel spreed sheet?




Thanks Les

TwoCatSam

"Every time we wait for 6 repeats of the same color or 5 consecutive  
wins, we gather 32 chips from the table profiting $310 ($320-$10).  
In Table 3 above, this occurs 5 times at sequences 23, 32, 61, 89,  
156. We can deduce that this is happening at a frequency of every  
40 spins, on average."

The above is a direct quote from the first post in this thread.

I have spent about ten or twelve hours trying to find the flaw in the math or logic or both in this system.  I found it.

For six even chances to hit six times in a row, well, you're looking at 1.33%.  Out of 10,000 spins you will see six even-chance propositions repeat only 133 times.  How often is that? 10,000/133 = 75 spins.  The truth is you will see a six-pack only once every seventy five spins, on average, not forty.

Now, it may have repeated once every forty spins in this simulation, but in the real world we don't bet on simulations.

I'm not my brother's keeper, but in an instance like this some poor devil could sink everything he owns into this system expecting a win every 40 spins for a minimal investment.

Am I wrong?  

Samster

Renopolis

Trying to read through this guys trestise; I can't finish it --  just can't. He's talking about streaks of black going to 16 or so and the worlds record is 32 in a row somewhere in Brazil. Then going on with the assumption that everybody would be betting for those long streaks TO END.  HOW ABOUT BETTING WITH THOSE STREAKS ?!? WOW! What a concept, instead of fighting the tide, swim with the tide.  If your wondering what I look like, I'm the guy in the Casino who just WON 12 IN A ROW when that streak went to 16 because after 4 in a row I bet and stayed on the that side UNTIL IT LOST. WHY? Because it showed "CLASSIC PREDOMINANCE" before that streak happened. YES, These long streaks are often (way more often than not) pre-cursored with obvious predominance before they happen. "Yeah but all the spins are independent of each other and the ball has no memory" you say. I'm not trying to be mean but simply pull your head out and realize that this is what independent spins with no memory do! No memory means no recognizable patterns? Yeah, well keep thinking that way and keep losing on a regular basis, simple as that. RENOPOLIS

TwoCatSam


Renopolis


  By the way, TWOCATSAM is following me around placing little-grade-school-boy-at-recess-TURD-replys after all my POSTS. Thats FINE as the village-idiot certainly couldn't find much to do with himself aside from blindly criticizing Shakespeare in a mentally undeveloped manner.
   However, I would really like to hear from the intelligent people out there as well.  If you can further any of my POSTS with a meaningful discusion that moves toward illuminating anything of value towards these games, THEN Please do so and we may both learn something........Thats why I come to a forum, YOU?     THANKS.......RENOPOLIS. 

TwoCatSam

..people can read.....

TwoCatSam

-