Whats The Math of Short Term Probability?

[Spike!]

The MathPeeps say the math ruling roulette prevents you from accurately guessing the next spin consistantly. What is the math of short term probability, exactly? What's the math that says the next spin can't be red? Whats the math that says a trend of 30 reds and 5 blacks will end on the next spin? Whats the math that says trends don't exist?

Noble Savage says the math of short term probability is 'easy' and I should do the research myself. I did and found nothing on it. So, MathBoyz, whats the math? You're so absolutely convinced that I can't master short term probability, where's the math that says I can't?

[Noble Savage]

I replied in the other thread.

nolinks://vlsroulette.com/roulette-and-gambling-framework/law-of-averages-the-limited-law-of-likely-events/msg102543/#msg102543

[Spike!]

But you didn't cover the math of short term probability at all. For instance, whats the math that says red can't (or can) occur 12 times in a row? Whats the math that shows when a trend will end? Saying it might or might not end on the next spin is like shrugging your shoulders, meaning you have no answer. We already know it went 12 in a row, why is betting red one more time a bad bet? Was betting the 12th spin to be red a bad bet? Obviously it wasn't. My point is, you act like you have all the answers, but for the extreme short term, you have no math and no answers at all.

[winkel]

Your problem is that you argue with MATH.

you should argue with LOGIC!

[Spike!]

you should argue with LOGIC!>>>

Whats the logic of roulette?

[Herb6]

Spike,

Start by practicing a little common sense.  

[winkel]

you should argue with LOGIC!>>>

Whats the logic of roulette?

There´s a spin

[winkel]

Spike,

Start by practicing a little common sense.  

as usual you are talking about things you´re not common with

[macduff]

why do you people drown yerselfs with maths,there is a lot of ways to win at roulette.watch the wheel and see whats happening.it really is in front of you. 

[Spike!]

Start by practicing a little common sense.>>

Herb has nothing to say, so of course he says nothing that means anything. Yawn.

[Spike!]

you should argue with LOGIC!>>>

Whats the logic of roulette?

[winkel]

you should argue with LOGIC!>>>

Whats the logic of roulette?

I did already answer! and see: there´s another spin!

[Spike!]

I guess its a joke or something, I didn't get it.

[Bayes]

So, MathBoyz, whats the math? You're so absolutely convinced that I can't master short term probability, where's the math that says I can't?

The mistake is in thinking there's a difference between "short term" and "long term" probability. Probability is defined only in the long term. But just because there's no short term probability and therefore no math that says you can't master it, it doesn't follow that you can. Again, you are the one claiming something exists for which there is no evidence, so it's up to you to provide some.

[winkel]

I guess its a joke or something, I didn't get it.

Hi spike,

a spin is just a spin and on its own it is telling nothing!

But after that we know, will be some things that will appear again and again.

e.g.:
Poker:
a) you have AK? Do you bet?
b) on flop there is AKK? Do you bet?
c) it follows Q and J. do you bet?
d) on table AKQJ are same color. do you bet?

You have RBRB... Do you bet? and what?


(just an very shorted example)

br
winkel

[winkel]

-