There is no denying most roulette systems are scams. If you told someone you could beat roulette, chances are they wouldn’t believe you. Then tell them that your system is for sale, and they will automatically assume it is a scam. For around 15 years, I’ve been involved in developing and selling techniques and systems to beat various casino games. So understand this area well.
Yes indeed, almost every gambling system is a scam. Approximately 5% of them are legitimate. This minority includes advantage play strategies such as visual ballistics. If you aren’t aware, visual ballistics is a legitimately effective strategy where you use eyesight to determine where the ball will land. Of course you don’t achieve perfect accuracy. Although, perfect accuracy is not required.
Some roulette systems can be tested at online casinos, and some cannot. Techniques such as visual ballistics can only be used on live roulette wheels. You can see a list casinos at Ruletti Kasinot and similar websites.
Why people fall for scams
Ultimately, people believe what they want to believe. Intelligent and educated are two different things. An intelligent person can still fall victim to themselves, by believing what they want.
But mostly, people that fall for scams are not educated. In the area of roulette systems, it is important to understand what at least can work, and what cannot work. Below I will explain further details, and some examples. The whole story is a book though, and beyond the scope of this article.
Almost every roulette system has random accuracy
There are probably more systems for roulette than any other casino game. The casino thrives on delusions and misunderstandings of players.
A typical example is a player walks up to the marquee, which is where the winning numbers are displayed. And they may see a run of red numbers in a row. Some players will assume that red is on a streak, and is more likely to win next. Other players may assume that red has had its run, and black is bound to spin soon.
Who is correct? Neither. The fact is red and black are just as likely to spin next as each other. The streak of reds is simply random fluctuation.
Such streaks can happen with individual numbers, dozens, columns, or whatever. It is all within the normal realms of roulette wheel behavior. The streaks happen whether the wheel is real, or winning numbers are determined by random number generators. Players see patterns that make sense in their own minds, but do not represent reality.
The problem with this is players base roulette system is on patterns that do not exist. Streaks is just one example. But there are many other types of patterns the player may be convinced exist.
Ultimately, a system that is based on imaginary patterns will achieve no better than random accuracy. In the case of individual numbers, the winning number has a one in thirty-seven chance.
Therefore, if the accuracy of predictions is unchanged, the odds of winning are unchanged, and of course the payouts haven’t changed. So what has actually changed? Nothing.
The law of a third
This is just one example of many myths and misconceptions roulette players have. The law of 1/3 state that after thirty-seven spins, approximately one third of the numbers will be repeated. Roulette players get stuck in the poor understanding of basic statistics. They believe that it is inevitable that numbers will repeat. So they think this can somehow be used for an advantage.
The math of it is simple. Basically on a European wheel, the odds of a number spinning is one in thirty-seven. On the second spin, the odds of the next number are exactly the same. But say after five spins, there have been no repeated numbers. So what are the chances that the next spin will be repeated number? It will be five in thirty-seven.
This basically means the more numbers that spin, the more likely there will be a repeated number.
How is this a big deal? It’s not. And an uneducated roulette player will be fixated on the belief that eventually repeats will occur. Yes, it’s basic probability that eventually it is likely to occur. This has no effect on the odds.
Players don’t test properly
Most players don’t know how to correctly test. They will assume they only need to win over a few spins, so they only need to test over a few spins. This understanding is incredibly bad.
Anything can happen in the short term, so proof of effectiveness can only be conclusive over a statistically significant number of spins. In reality, this means hundreds of thousands of spins, or more. The an educated player will see no point to testing so many spins, because they expect to never play this many spins.
But what happens if ten thousand players only play on ten spins? This is a total of one hundred thousand spins. Does it mean that all players are going to profit, supposedly because they only played in the short term? Absolutely not. There will be some winners, and some losers. But overall, most will be loses. And this is exactly how the casino’s house edge works.
In the context of roulette system scams, ultimately, players are so easily scammed because they don’t understand basic statistics. And they don’t ask the right questions to system sellers. There are some legitimate roulette strategies for sale, and many scams.
It is not difficult to identify whether or not a system at least has a chance of working. It begins with asking system seller the right questions. For example, ask the seller if the system beats random number generators. If the answer is yes, you know the system is a scam. How do you know? Because the spins from random number generators are not based on physics, and are instead based on random number generator software. You don’t know the exact cause and effect of a winning number. It is both random and unpredictable with random number generators. As such, you cannot change the odds of winning. And if you can’t change the odds, you have changed nothing, and the house edge from the casino still takes effect. This means you will eventually lose.
Most of the knowledge you need to identify scams is readily available on credible websites. But you need to know which credible websites to follow. You can start on websites that explain basic statistics.